LeesburgWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:25 PM, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. Expand I just want Beethoven- then we know it’s a legit bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:33 PM, TSSN+ said: Well there’s a difference in a 50 mile band miss and a actually storm forming hahah. Not like euro has a coastal showing 10-20 east of us and we hope it shifts west. It’s a whole different look at h5 Expand They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:35 PM, LeesburgWx said: I just want Beethoven- then we know it’s a legit bomb Expand Smiling Beethoven for HECS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:35 PM, LeesburgWx said: I just want Beethoven- then we know it’s a legit bomb Expand Hmmm, now that's a good idea. The new call is FOLKS for a good storm, Beethoven pic for HECS level. There it is 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:37 PM, tplbge said: Smiling Beethoven for HECS. Expand I got two versions ready. Been wanting to use the other so bad 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:38 PM, stormtracker said: Hmmm, now that's a good idea. The new call is FOLKS for a good storm, Beethoven pic for HECS level. There it is Expand Haha love it! Also looks like ensembles are showing more phasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:37 PM, mitchnick said: They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol Expand I hate them all. Just let it snow ya know? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:38 PM, stormtracker said: I got two versions ready. Been wanting to use the other so bad Expand Gosh I’d love to see beethoven’s ass later 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Don’t hate the look of the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:25 PM, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. Expand And I take it JAWS would be a HECS...however one defines that (> 12", I'd guess, in that ballpark). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:42 PM, LP08 said: Don’t hate the look of the GEFS Expand Better than 12z on the mean at least. This is only 100-120 hours out! Kinda nuts. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:44 PM, Deck Pic said: Who coined HECS. DT coined SECS and MECS, but HECS was someone else. I think Expand I did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:44 PM, Deck Pic said: Who coined HECS. DT coined SECS and MECS, but HECS was someone else. I think Expand Actually I wonder that too. I know it stands for "Historic East Coast Snowstorm", but how is that defined? I guess something that would make the Kocin-Uccellini list, perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:27 PM, frd said: My location as well, forecast was 6 to 8. Total here was 3.5 inches. Saturday has potential, might even trend colder. Mount Holly states - It will still take several model runs to get a handle on this system. For now, will follow NBM PoPs and carry slight chance-chance PoPs over the area Friday night through Saturday, and even though forecast high temperatures are above freezing on Saturday, based on wet-bulb temperatures, the dominant p-type would be snow. High pressure returns on Sunday and Monday. Expand its not over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 GEFS is going all in 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:44 PM, Deck Pic said: Who coined HECS. DT coined SECS and MECS, but HECS was someone else. I think Expand I think DT coined those way back in the early 2000’s, including HECS…someone here coined BECS I think for real rather of god biblical east coast snowstorm…maybe for the 2016 storm… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:27 PM, midatlanticweather said: Rant:: Let's do 10:1 posts for snow maps. If you want to do Kuchera.. Fine.. I like Kuchera when we are borderline and it cuts down totals because 10:1 is unlikely, but it seems always overdone and it is annoying to keep seeing them. Do 10:1 maps and then we will let mets to do analysis on dendrites when we get close. Expand The most accurate I find are often the positive snow depth change. People dont like those because they are lightest of the bunch, but more realistic than the Kuchie maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:48 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: The most accurate I find are often the positive snow depth change. People dont like those because they are lightest of the bunch, but more realistic than the Kuchie maps Expand Noooooo they are not. Even in the most marginal of cases, they usually are too low. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:48 PM, WxUSAF said: Noooooo they are not. Even in the most marginal of cases, they usually are too low. Expand they’re only good in marginal setups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:47 PM, GATECH said: I think DT coined those way back in the early 2000’s, including HECS…someone here coined BECS I think for real rather of god biblical east coast snowstorm…maybe for the 2016 storm… Expand Nah, becs was around in 2009. Maybe before 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:51 PM, brooklynwx99 said: they’re only good in marginal setups Expand I dunno, I often refer to them and am rarely disappointed. Maybe we just have alot of marginal setups in the last 8 or 9 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:47 PM, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS is going all in Expand How can you interpret whether the GEFS it not simply following the leader ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 As psu would say...tucked 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:56 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: As psu would say...tucked Expand Ffs there's a 967 due east of the DE/MD border. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:46 PM, WhiteoutMD said: its not over Expand Upper energy rolling through soon. Banding developing to my West and NW. Maybe get an additional inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:56 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: As psu would say...tucked Expand I mean, wow. That looks like a strong signal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Several members in the mid 950s are it approaches New England 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:45 PM, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Actually I wonder that too. I know it stands for "Historic East Coast Snowstorm", but how is that defined? I guess something that would make the Kocin-Uccellini list, perhaps. Expand For DCA - SEC -- 5 to 10 inches. MEC 10 to 18 inches. HEC 18 + The elusive BEC would be 30 + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:25 PM, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. Expand I would go with 12+ for the folks. 18+ is HOLY FOLKS. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:10 PM, stormtracker said: Not sure 10" is a folks for PSU, but ok. SV maps are shit, so prob could be more Expand It would be for those of us in northern Maryland to the east of PSU. It’s been a LONG time between drinks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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