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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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Just now, TSSN+ said:

Well there’s a difference in a 50 mile band miss and a actually storm forming hahah. Not like euro has a coastal showing 10-20 east of us and we hope it shifts west. It’s a whole different look at h5

They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol

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1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol

I hate them all. Just let it snow ya know? 

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18 minutes ago, frd said:

My location as well, forecast was 6 to 8. Total here was 3.5 inches. 

Saturday has potential, might even trend colder. 

Mount Holly states -    

It will still take several model
runs to get a handle on this system. For now, will follow NBM PoPs
and carry slight chance-chance PoPs over the area Friday night
through Saturday, and even though forecast high temperatures are
above freezing on Saturday, based on wet-bulb temperatures, the
dominant p-type would be snow.

High pressure returns on Sunday and Monday.

its not over

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19 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Rant:: Let's do 10:1 posts for snow maps. If you want to do Kuchera.. Fine.. I like Kuchera when we are borderline and it cuts down totals because 10:1 is unlikely, but it seems always overdone and it is annoying to keep seeing them. Do 10:1 maps and then we will let mets to do analysis on dendrites when we get close. 

 

 

The most accurate I find are often the positive snow depth change. People dont like those because they are lightest of the bunch, but more realistic than the Kuchie maps

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Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

The most accurate I find are often the positive snow depth change. People dont like those because they are lightest of the bunch, but more realistic than the Kuchie maps

Noooooo they are not.  Even in the most marginal of cases, they usually are too low.  

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3 minutes ago, GATECH said:

I think DT coined those way back in the early 2000’s, including HECS…someone here coined BECS I think for real rather of god biblical east coast snowstorm…maybe for the 2016 storm…

Nah, becs was around in 2009. Maybe before 

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16 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Actually I wonder that too.  I know it stands for "Historic East Coast Snowstorm", but how is that defined?  I guess something that would make the Kocin-Uccellini list, perhaps.

For DCA - SEC -- 5 to 10 inches. MEC 10 to 18 inches.  HEC 18 +  The elusive BEC would be 30 +

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39 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok here.  I made a scale.   Tell me if yall agree

3-6 yo!

4-10 guys

10+ FOLKS

better?  I dunno. lol. maybe 12+?   This is a democracy.  

I would go with 12+ for the folks. 18+ is HOLY FOLKS. 

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