stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:14 PM, psuhoffman said: What’s “folks” HECS? A 8-12” snow is a once every 4-5 years event lol Expand MECS/HECS level. But if yall want me to lower the criteria, I can. Again, listen...8-12 is fucking great. I save the key work for 12 or more. But that's just me. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Not saying the track is correct, but if it is, the jackpot should be Deep Creek Lake to Mount Washington. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:17 PM, Alfoman said: I actually love this run for one reason - it's sloppier and still get's the job done with the phase and popping the sfc low in a decent spot along the coast. It shows that there is *some* room for error here with a win still possible board-wide. Regardless, 0Z will be telling on whether the GFS is making up for it's horrendous h5 forecasting for this previous storm or if it's still out to lunch. Expand Me too, and I love that the low is actually "west-er" because it starts to set up a middle ground of SLP tracks that still work well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:19 PM, Amped said: Not saying the track is correct, but if it is, the jackpot should be Deep Creek Lake to Mount Washington. Expand Definitely did think with that track MBY would be in the meat of it, but I won't scrutinize too closely at d5, especially until the GFS has company in its camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:16 PM, DDweatherman said: Expand Not mad at it. We know we have potential for way better. Or we "settle" for this. I'll take half a loaf over none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:14 PM, psuhoffman said: What’s “folks” HECS? A 8-12” snow is a once every 4-5 years event lol Expand Weenies are very susceptible to withdrawal symptoms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:20 PM, stormtracker said: Not mad at it. We know we have potential for way better. Or we "settle" for this. I'll take half a loaf over none. Expand Ya it’s not the euro so there that. I’d be buying this right now if I could. I’m sure I’ll get two flakes instead though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:16 PM, DDweatherman said: Expand this has the look of a classic just need the EURO to come back with the cleaner phase meet in the middle and FOLKS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:16 PM, stormtracker said: You live in the hills and 10-12" is HECS like? Hey, I respect it. We all have our criteria. Like I said, somebody will have the pretty maps soon. SV sucks ass and the snowfall could be more impressive than I see Expand Today was underwhelming up here today. Hoping Saturday is better. We shall see. Glad DC got the goods today! You all were due . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:18 PM, stormtracker said: MECS/HECS level. But if yall want me to lower the criteria, I can. Again, listen...8-12 is fucking great. I save the key work for 12 or more. But that's just me. Expand Let the man break out "folks" whenever the hell he damn well pleases! Ha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. 7 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:24 PM, Dendrimer77 said: Let the man break out "folks" whenever the hell he damn well pleases! Ha Expand Ha, it's all good. I'm not mad about it. I just like when we all bond and have a good time. That's why I made that our war/rally cry. I'm open to a consensus on what it should mean. I might just shut up and just throw up accumulation numbers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Rant:: Let's do 10:1 posts for snow maps. If you want to do Kuchera.. Fine.. I like Kuchera when we are borderline and it cuts down totals because 10:1 is unlikely, but it seems always overdone and it is annoying to keep seeing them. Do 10:1 maps and then we will let mets to do analysis on dendrites when we get close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:23 PM, Chris78 said: Today was underwhelming up here today. Hoping Saturday is better. We shall see. Glad DC got the goods today! You all were due . Expand My location as well, forecast was 6 to 8. Total here was 3.5 inches. Saturday has potential, might even trend colder. Mount Holly states - It will still take several model runs to get a handle on this system. For now, will follow NBM PoPs and carry slight chance-chance PoPs over the area Friday night through Saturday, and even though forecast high temperatures are above freezing on Saturday, based on wet-bulb temperatures, the dominant p-type would be snow. High pressure returns on Sunday and Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:23 PM, WhiteoutMD said: this has the look of a classic just need the EURO to come back with the cleaner phase meet in the middle and FOLKS Expand The problem is we might flirt with danger with a wetter storm. As always...thread the needle shit down our way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:27 PM, stormtracker said: The problem is we might flirt with danger with a wetter storm. As always...thread the needle shit down our wayThe northern tier is salivating at this comment 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I am glad I gave up today for this coming Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:28 PM, jayyy said: The northern tier is salivating at this comment Expand People were saying the northern folks are due in actuality, give the snow to @North Balti Zen now! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:27 PM, frd said: My location as well, forecast was 6 to 8. Total here was 3.5 inches. Saturday has potential, might even trend colder. Mount Holly states - It will still take several model runs to get a handle on this system. For now, will follow NBM PoPs and carry slight chance-chance PoPs over the area Friday night through Saturday, and even though forecast high temperatures are above freezing on Saturday, based on wet-bulb temperatures, the dominant p-type would be snow. High pressure returns on Sunday and Monday. Expand Unfortunately you and I have to hope for different things since we're about 4 hours apart in location 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:28 PM, jayyy said: The northern tier is salivating at this comment Expand Folks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:25 PM, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. Expand With how shitty winter have been lately I’d take a folks for 6”+ haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 WJLA had the urge to call this snow showers on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:25 PM, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. Expand 1-3... "hmm" or "hey" Otherwise this is solid. 10+ for FOLKS seems like a decent threshold. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:31 PM, wxmeddler said: 1-3... "hmm" or "hey" Otherwise this is solid. 10+ for FOLKS seems like a decent threshold. Expand That being said, hoping for a whole lot of folks later and this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:14 PM, psuhoffman said: What’s “folks” HECS? A 8-12” snow is a once every 4-5 years event lol Expand Remind what you said a few days ago about the accuracy of the GFS versus the ECM in Canada with the Northern jet in various regimes, PNA/EPO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:22 PM, TSSN+ said: Ya it’s not the euro so there that. I’d be buying this right now if I could. I’m sure I’ll get two flakes instead though. Expand You mean the Euro that gave us 5.5-6" in its last run before the flakes started to fly? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:29 PM, DDweatherman said: People were saying the northern folks are due in actuality, give the snow to @North Balti Zen now! Expand If we don’t get this storm I am making @North Balti Zenmove to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 10:31 PM, mitchnick said: You mean the Euro that gave us 5.5-6" in its last run before the flakes started to fly? Lol Expand Well there’s a difference in a 50 mile band miss and a actually storm forming hahah. Not like euro has a coastal showing 10-20 east of us and we hope it shifts west. It’s a whole different look at h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rosented1234 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Not sure what happened there? Writing from phone. Sorry first time posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Round two has arrived to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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