January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[Ji]

Snow approaching from the SW at 0z.   Again, I'm conservative this far out and I'm not calling shit until I'm sure.   I see the SFC map, but I go off of H5...still waiting

What’s scary is the storm is pretty much make or break at 72 hours. We will find out soon.

[LeesburgWx]

Awaiting "FOLKS"

[stormtracker]

Need a few more panels....

[Solution Man]

Bruh

[stormtracker]

So here's the deal...it looks like its gonna be closer...but flirting with danger with thermals 

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

What’s scary is the storm is pretty much make or break at 72 hours. We will find out soon.

You'd think we'll know by what...Wednesday morning?

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, stormtracker said:

So here's the deal...it looks like its gonna be closer...but flirting with danger with thermals 

So kinda like the first boom run?

[stormtracker]

Thermals cool down,.heavy snow at 18z Sat

[Solution Man]

114 hammer time

[stormtracker]

We get snow...but it's not a folks...it's less than 12z

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Are we getting into Folks, Jaws, @Bob Chill OMG surprise face territory?

[stormtracker]

It's nothing to sneeze at 8-12 for the forum...8 down DC way...12 up north near Bmore

[DDweatherman]

Just now, stormtracker said:

We get snow...but it's not a folks...it's less than 12z

It's a folks for some. It's an interesting run, nice to see the phase still there. Actually runs the low inland over Dover at 120 (as a 988). I'm sure E PA and NY get demolished next frame.

[stormtracker]

It's definitely not as good/wet as 12z.   Low just seemed like it couldn't get going good.  Even up north in PHL-BOS it's less than 12z.  At any rate, none of us would kick this out of bed

[DDweatherman]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's nothing to sneeze at 8-12 for the forum...8 down DC way...12 up north near Bmore

Also, let me just say it was almost a folks for sure, that was nearly big time looking at h5. 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

It's a folks for some. It's an interesting run, nice to see the phase still there. Actually runs the low inland over Dover at 120 (as a 988). I'm sure E PA and NY get demolished next frame.

Not sure 10" is a folks for PSU, but ok.   SV maps are shit, so prob could be more

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's definitely not as good/wet as 12z.   Low just seemed like it couldn't get going good.  Even up north in PHL-BOS it's less than 12z.  At any rate, none of us would kick this out of bed

Yeah definitely.  Like I said above a little earlier, not expecting a HECS per se (but would take one!).  But I have to like how things look to be shaping up in terms of chances for a pretty decent event next weekend, in a broad sense.

[LeesburgWx]

NYC forum saying it’s a bomb

[DDweatherman]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Not sure 10" is a folks for PSU, but ok.   SV maps are shit, so prob could be more

I don't disagree. 8-9" in 6 hours for Baltimore and suburbs is a pretty sick panel @ 120. 

[stormtracker]

Again, who among us would be mad at an 8-12 Miller A forum wide?

[wxmeddler]

It's a tad bit more progressive than 12z but it still is a major hit.

[Thewiledcard]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Again, who among us would be mad at an 8-12 Miller A forum wide?

Reporting from SC PA. And absolutely no one.

[Amped]

Gives philly to boston 18"with a track over NYC. That must be the new 40/70 benchmark.

[WxUSAF]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Again, who among us would be mad at an 8-12 Miller A forum wide?

[Chris78]

4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

It's a folks for some. It's an interesting run, nice to see the phase still there. Actually runs the low inland over Dover at 120 (as a 988). I'm sure E PA and NY get demolished next frame.

It's a folks for me. 

[DDweatherman]

Just now, wxmeddler said:

It's a tad bit more progressive than 12z but it still is a major hit.

Interestingly it looked like it had the opportunity to be a cleaner phase at around h84-90, but the SLP just took a bit longer to go given the slightly more pos tilt. The trick is to have the euro and others move again in this direction. That really all comes down to the northern energy. 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

NYC forum saying it’s a bomb

I honestly dont' pay that close attention to them...it's certainly good for them, altho the city looks way less than just right across NJ. 

[Solution Man]

We have time

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

It's still a solid pants tent level event for this area!!

[Benjamn3]

I’m in the 6-8 inch range and putting that ontop of what we have now. I’ll be good for the rest of the year. It’ll be interesting to see where the models progress tomorrow.