LeesburgWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 DT just now: “I POSTED ABOUT JAN 11-12 OVER ON THE BLUESKY . it looks MASSIVE....” It’s over 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:56 AM, psuhoffman said: I think everyone has acknowledged we’ve been going through a convergence of a shit pacific and high latitude cycle which also happened in the 50s and 70s. The last 8 years would have been a snow minimum in any era. But we’ve used regression models and analysis to determine we’ve lost about 15-20% of our snow climo. And the results the last 8 years fall within that measure worse than comparable bad cycles. So I guess the issue is whether you think 15-20% is a big deal. I do! We’ve had several marginal events that would have made a total dreg under 5” winter into a more easy to stomach year that at least had a decent snow or two. No one is saying these would have been snowy years. Expand Yea, I'll defer to you on that....I know up here, we haven't lost any...yet, but perhaps that is beginning because we can't buy a flake these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:56 AM, psuhoffman said: I think everyone has acknowledged we’ve been going through a convergence of a shit pacific and high latitude cycle which also happened in the 50s and 70s. The last 8 years would have been a snow minimum in any era. But we’ve used regression models and analysis to determine we’ve lost about 15-20% of our snow climo. And the results the last 8 years fall within that measure worse than comparable bad cycles. So I guess the issue is whether you think 15-20% is a big deal. I do! We’ve had several marginal events that would have made a total dreg under 5” winter into a more easy to stomach year that at least had a decent snow or two. No one is saying these would have been snowy years. Expand The only place it’s consistently hot, is my pants. Stay far away if you want any snow. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:48 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Neither will I, but for different emotions/state of mind. Expand Whatever it is, I hope it gets better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:58 AM, stormtracker said: Whatever it is, I hope it gets better. Expand Just the shitty winter....everything else is great lol Well, glad I was finally right about something and January has been wintry. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:58 AM, stormtracker said: Whatever it is, I hope it gets better. Expand He is having a kid with his wife IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:57 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I'll defer to you on that....I know up here, we haven't lost any...yet, but perhaps that is beginning because we can't buy a flake these days. Expand We have more precipitable water now.. the snow decreasion is probably about 5-10% but more variance between a no-snow Winter and a 40-45"+ Winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:59 AM, yoda said: He is having a kid with his wife IIRC Expand I guess it’s better than having it with your girlfriend when you’re married. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:59 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just the shitty winter....everything else is great lol Expand Oh hell, I thought it was something serious, you fucker 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:59 AM, yoda said: He is having a kid with his wife IIRC Expand Yea, life is good....I am just so mentally deranged that I am still tracking snow and allowing to affect me 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:00 AM, stormtracker said: Oh hell, I thought it was something serious, you fucker Expand Snow is serious, what’s wrong with you. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:00 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, life is good....I am just so mentally deranged that I am still tracking snow and allowing to affect me Expand In other words you're just a banner member of this forum? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:57 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I'll defer to you on that....I know up here, we haven't lost any...yet, but perhaps that is beginning because we can't buy a flake these days. Expand Actually as of 2022 analysis showed eastern Mass had increase snow climo due to bigger coastal storms. But the further south you go the worse that equation gets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:00 AM, stormtracker said: Oh hell, I thought it was something serious, you fucker Expand I miss the conferences...even though my drinking days are over, would still attend!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:01 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I miss the conferences...even though my drinking days are over. would still attend!! Expand Don’t worry, when that kid wakes you up at night you will start drinking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:01 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I miss the conferences...even though my drinking days are over. would still attend!! Expand Good times back in the day. I'd love to do another one someday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:01 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I miss the conferences...even though my drinking days are over, would still attend!! Expand I miss the conferences too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:01 AM, psuhoffman said: Actually as of 2022 analysis showed eastern Mass had increase snow climo due to bigger coastal storms. But the further south you go the worse that equation gets. Expand If -NAO's continue to be wetter like this, wait until we do a -NAO and +PDO decadal phase.. it looks like they could possibly align together in the coming time. But yeah, much more sensitive further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:02 AM, ravensrule said: Don’t worry, when that kid wakes you up at night you will start drinking. Expand Well, this is #4 and will have 11 years next month! ; ) On 1/6/2025 at 5:02 AM, stormtracker said: Good times back in the day. I'd love to do another one someday Expand I'll be waiting...maybe I can present on how the mid atl has stolen SNE snow 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:04 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: If -NAO's continue to be wetter like this, wait until we do a -NAO and +PDO decadal phase.. it looks like they could possibly align together in the coming time. But yeah, much more sensitive further south Expand Turn of the decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Dark sky showing 8-10 for Saturday. Guess I know which model it uses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:04 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, this is #4 and will have 11 years next month! ; ) I'll be waiting...maybe I can present on how the mid atl has stolen SNE snow Expand Lol who knew. Congrats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Ok..Euro starting. Wasn't too keen on our potential this weekend. Let's see what we get on this run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:11 AM, stormtracker said: Ok..Euro starting. Wasn't too keen on our potential this weekend. Let's see what we get on this runRun it back Randy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:11 AM, jayyy said: Run it back Randy Expand I think the Euro is just gonna keep being stubborn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 GEFS took a step back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Fuckin Euro is stuck at 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:26 AM, stormtracker said: Fuckin Euro is stuck at 18 Expand Damn, i need a nap before the snow starts. Please unstick it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:27 AM, ravensrule said: Damn, i need a nap before the snow starts. Please unstick it. Expand Somebody needs to go to Europe and unplug it and plug it back in 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 5:29 AM, stormtracker said: Somebody needs to go to Europe and unplug it and plug it back in Expand I’m out of frequent flyer miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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