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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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This is wild. I didn't think we'd see anything close to 2010 again given the ocean anomalies the last ~8 years. I would be so happy to be wrong if this lands and we're looking at another threat 7 days from now

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  On 1/6/2025 at 4:33 AM, TSG said:

This is wild. I didn't think we'd see anything close to 2010 again given the ocean anomalies the last ~8 years. I would be so happy to be wrong if this lands and we're looking at another threat 7 days from now

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As painful as this would be for me, hopefully it would shut the CC zealots up for a day. Not that CC isn't real because it is, but the over attribution is fuc(ing nauseating.

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  On 1/6/2025 at 4:40 AM, psuhoffman said:

I had tickets to that game. I was so mad. Missed the snow game then had to take a train back 2 days later from NYC where I had plans that week. 

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Was that the game that they had to reschedule after the miracle Giants win with the punt return D Jax? 2010-lost to the stinking Vikings on a Tuesday night as 9 pint faves and missed out on a bye and lost to Green Bay a week later in the wildcard game. Vick picked off in the endzone late smh

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  On 1/6/2025 at 4:44 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

As painful as this would be for me, hopefully it would shut the CC zealots up for a day. Not that CC isn't real because it is, but the over attribution is fuc(ing nauseating.

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For real.. it's so easy to blame everything on an easy cause. Fact is, we've had 41/46 Winter +NAO months since 2013, and a 7-consecutive year record breaking streak of -PNA by 175% for Feb-Mar. And 5/6 Winters before this of +WPO The mechanics of the pattern have been bad for cold/snow. Nice to see this wintery pattern set up in late November and last through January.. 

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  On 1/6/2025 at 4:44 AM, wasnow215 said:

Was that the game that they had to reschedule after the miracle Giants win with the punt return D Jax? 2010-lost to the stinking Vikings on a Tuesday night as 9 pint faves and missed out on a bye and lost to Green Bay a week later in the wildcard game. Vick picked off in the endzone late smh

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Ya I was there 

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  On 1/6/2025 at 4:46 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

For real.. it's so easy to blame everything on an easy cause. Fact is, we've had 41/46 Winter +NAO months since 2013, and a 7-consecutive year record breaking streak of -PNA by 175% for Feb-Mar. And 5/6 Winters before this of +WPO The mechanics of the pattern have been bad for cold/snow. Nice to see this wintery pattern set up in late November and last through January.. 

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Yea...that would have produced a string of shitty, albeit colder, winters in the 1800s.

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  On 1/6/2025 at 4:48 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...that would have produced a string of shitty, albeit colder, winters in the 1800s.

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I think everyone has acknowledged we’ve been going through a convergence of a shit pacific and high latitude cycle which also happened in the 50s and 70s.  The last 8 years would have been a snow minimum in any era. But we’ve used regression models and analysis to determine we’ve lost about 15-20% of our snow climo. And the results the last 8 years fall within that measure worse than comparable bad cycles. 
 

So I guess the issue is whether you think 15-20% is a big deal.  I do!  We’ve had several marginal events that would have made a total dreg under 5” winter into a more easy to stomach year that at least had a decent snow or two. No one is saying these would have been snowy years. 

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