Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I still don't like the 500mb look over the Pacific for this storm, on the ensembles. In DC/Balt's greatest snowstorms, you have a strong trough over the Gulf of Alaska or PNA region. Models are showing a ridge there. And there is a weak +WPO over the Bering Strait. That pattern could pop a slight SE ridge or flatten the pattern out a little bit, which isn't being shown now, and I think there will be mixing issues, if not possibly rain. The 500mb doesn't match DC/Baltimore snowstorm composite in the Pacific Ocean for the time of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Let’s goooooo. Saw there were over 200 new posts in here and knew something huge must have happened. Need to reel in a HECS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: I still don't like the 500mb look over the Pacific for this storm, on the ensembles. In DC/Balt's greatest snowstorms, you have a strong trough over the Gulf of Alaska or PNA region. Models are showing a ridge there. And there is a weak +WPO over the Bering Strait. That pattern could pop a slight SE ridge or flatten the pattern out a little bit, which isn't being shown now, and I think there will be mixing issues, if not possibly rain. The 500mb doesn't match DC/Baltimore snowstorm composite in the Pacific Ocean for the time of this storm. A little SE ridge will force it up the coast instead of off the se coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: A little SE ridge will force it up the coast instead of off the se coast. Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95, if not rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95. Every biggie needs to flirt with the mix line. Stop being a grinch, let’s reel this in together. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 15 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95, if not rain. Look at him go... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHabit Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Capital Weather Gang on Facebook:“Snow potential index — 10/10 (→): Monday’s snow is a lock. The wild card is what next weekend could bring.”Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 reposting in here (thanks @RIC Airport) 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18Z Euro AI looked cold and juicy for the weekend storm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Imagine if the 0z GFS holds the previous BECS and the Euro follows suit. This place will be an absolute madhouse. Not that it isn’t already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Of course I miss the only time where I could have typed folks. Oh well....Come on GFS/Euro combo. If this shit keeps up on 0z tomorrow runs, this places is gonna lose it and become 110% more unbearable. Let the good times roll! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Its a shit model, but the ICON looked interesting at the end of its run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, stormtracker said: Its a shit model, but the ICON looked interesting at the end of its run Too much of a positive tilt with a kicker racing into the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Aiight..so out west. S/w down southwest is a bit further East...thats all for now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Aiight..so out west. S/w down southwest is a bit further East...thats all for now This is starting to look good at 72h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 So far, H5 is different....southwest vort seems more out of psych/less consolidated that 18z so far. But there's a stronger nrn vort diving down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: This is starting to look good at 72h Just wish that sw vort was fully phased in like 18z...but gulf low starting to form at 15z Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 GFS is interestng 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 yeah, leaving behind that sw vort hurts a bit. low in the gulf not as wet or consolidated so far. Still, not a terrible look at H5 rn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time. That's a vigorous ns sw 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 snow starts ats 7am Saturday...again..hard to tell if it's gonna be a HECS or run of the mill thang 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 FOLKS.... 23 1 2 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time.This is going to suck….maybe a 3-6 inch storm ?? Compared to 18z? 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Oh wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, stormtracker said: FOLKS.... there it is! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I’m here for FOLKS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Bruh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Moderate snow 15z Saturday...trof going negative 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Ji said: This is going to suck….maybe a 3-6 inch storm It most certainly will not 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts