mattie g Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 7 minutes ago, Fozz said: I am returning on the 14th. I have a dreaded feeling my heart will be broken. I have a commitment I absolutely cannot miss, otherwise I’d do what North Arlington is doing. I hardly even care about missing the upcoming 8-10” anymore. I honestly don’t think we’ll get a huge storm in these parts this weekend. Snow? More than likely, but I can’t get on board with the GFS right now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 40 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: After just telling my family I booked a backup flight for Friday I told them @mattie g’s story to try and help my case. They weren’t any more sympathetic Valiant effort. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I am returning on the 14th. I have a dreaded feeling my heart will be broken. I have a commitment I absolutely cannot miss, otherwise I’d do what North Arlington is doing. I hardly even care about missing the upcoming 8-10” anymore.Leaving now for Sarasota for the week, returning Sunday afternoon. Right there with ya, Fozz. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Great signal at this range, this model has been good . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Ravens game is Saturday at 8pm(Amazon Prime) 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 7 minutes ago, Heisy said: Great signal at this range, this model has been good . All we can hope for at this range. Main model shows something fun, ensembles support something. Going to be another fun week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Well, I knew this thread wouldn’t disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 hour ago, Jeff B said: Ravens game is Saturday at 8pm (Amazon Prime) Let’s F’ng go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I still don't like the 500mb look over the Pacific for this storm, on the ensembles. In DC/Balt's greatest snowstorms, you have a strong trough over the Gulf of Alaska or PNA region. Models are showing a ridge there. And there is a weak +WPO over the Bering Strait. That pattern could pop a slight SE ridge or flatten the pattern out a little bit, which isn't being shown now, and I think there will be mixing issues, if not possibly rain. The 500mb doesn't match DC/Baltimore snowstorm composite in the Pacific Ocean for the time of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Let’s goooooo. Saw there were over 200 new posts in here and knew something huge must have happened. Need to reel in a HECS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: I still don't like the 500mb look over the Pacific for this storm, on the ensembles. In DC/Balt's greatest snowstorms, you have a strong trough over the Gulf of Alaska or PNA region. Models are showing a ridge there. And there is a weak +WPO over the Bering Strait. That pattern could pop a slight SE ridge or flatten the pattern out a little bit, which isn't being shown now, and I think there will be mixing issues, if not possibly rain. The 500mb doesn't match DC/Baltimore snowstorm composite in the Pacific Ocean for the time of this storm. A little SE ridge will force it up the coast instead of off the se coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: A little SE ridge will force it up the coast instead of off the se coast. Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95, if not rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95. Every biggie needs to flirt with the mix line. Stop being a grinch, let’s reel this in together. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 15 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95, if not rain. Look at him go... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHabit Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Capital Weather Gang on Facebook:“Snow potential index — 10/10 (→): Monday’s snow is a lock. The wild card is what next weekend could bring.”Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 reposting in here (thanks @RIC Airport) 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18Z Euro AI looked cold and juicy for the weekend storm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Imagine if the 0z GFS holds the previous BECS and the Euro follows suit. This place will be an absolute madhouse. Not that it isn’t already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Of course I miss the only time where I could have typed folks. Oh well....Come on GFS/Euro combo. If this shit keeps up on 0z tomorrow runs, this places is gonna lose it and become 110% more unbearable. Let the good times roll! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Its a shit model, but the ICON looked interesting at the end of its run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, stormtracker said: Its a shit model, but the ICON looked interesting at the end of its run Too much of a positive tilt with a kicker racing into the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Aiight..so out west. S/w down southwest is a bit further East...thats all for now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Aiight..so out west. S/w down southwest is a bit further East...thats all for now This is starting to look good at 72h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 So far, H5 is different....southwest vort seems more out of psych/less consolidated that 18z so far. But there's a stronger nrn vort diving down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: This is starting to look good at 72h Just wish that sw vort was fully phased in like 18z...but gulf low starting to form at 15z Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 GFS is interestng 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 yeah, leaving behind that sw vort hurts a bit. low in the gulf not as wet or consolidated so far. Still, not a terrible look at H5 rn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time. That's a vigorous ns sw 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 snow starts ats 7am Saturday...again..hard to tell if it's gonna be a HECS or run of the mill thang 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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