Ralph Wiggum Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/4/2025 at 10:52 PM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: My call is it's a rainstorm for Jan 11th. Expand That would be ironic as ensembles ALL had that date as the coldest in YEARS less than a week ago. What a turn of events that would be. Then you should be 5-posted for even putting such a comment out there in the universe. I would only blame you Chuck 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Looks juicy 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Seems like it's GEFS vs GEPS/EPS in terms of showing troughing in the SW in the LR. I would also say the 18Z showed slight improvement in this regard. The GEFS has been less enthusiastic about Pacific blocking ever since November; maybe this is another occasion when it corrects to the other guidance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Sterling mentions the next weekends storm in their disco... This is thanks to a brief ridge that moves overhead ahead of a very deep trough building across the central CONUS. This trough will develop an area of low pressure across the deep south, which may move towards the region Friday into Saturday and bring another impactful weather event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Nice. You guys are gonnabe enjoying a nice stretch of deep winter. Plenty of snow and deep cold to go with it! Congrats, Sub! It's been a LOOOOOOOOOOONG time coming. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 GFS dug that S/W way down there...starting to come out a bit now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Looks like it's gonna miss the connection with the southwest S/W, but may not need it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Light snow approaching the area from the SW around 7pm Friday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Flow just looks too flat to turn the corner at the moment. Some light snow around 1am Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Yeah, this run is gonna miss...gets some light stuff up to us tho. H5 presentation wasn't nearly as good as 18z..totally missed the s/w connection in the south west. Still like where we are and this signal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:16 AM, stormtracker said: Yeah, this run is gonna miss...gets some light stuff up to us tho. H5 presentation wasn't nearly as good as 18z..totally missed the s/w connection in the south west. Still like where we are and this signal Expand Yeah, by hour 96, the 00Z cycle handled the shortwave over Montana quite differently than the previous 2 cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:16 AM, stormtracker said: Yeah, this run is gonna miss...gets some light stuff up to us tho. H5 presentation wasn't nearly as good as 18z..totally missed the s/w connection in the south west. Still like where we are and this signal Expand Still 1-2” of snow-on-snow. Good high end WAA-WSW criteria snow for the tidewater/NC/SC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Gefs actually look better than 18z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/b9799005-6578-4ad8-9625-267d929f4deb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Said I was going to bed, but wanted to check the Euro for the next threat. It's kicking out the s.w unlike the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Interesting H5 map at 117 on the Euro... much better look that GFS at the same time. Let's see if it can produce 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Damn man, if that nrn s/w can dig enough to capture the southern s/w, I'd FOLKS the shit out of this thing right now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Oh dear... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Moisture bomb gathering off the LA coast in the Gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:43 AM, stormtracker said: Moisture bomb gathering off the LA coast in the Gulf Expand We're listening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 It's close to something big...oh so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Moderate snow over the area 1pm Saturday...may get going good too late for our latitude tho EDIT: Yeah, just a bit too late...but NYC...gets pummeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:48 AM, stormtracker said: Moderate snow over the area 1pm Saturday...may get going good too late for our latitude tho EDIT: Yeah, just a bit too late...but NYC...gets pummeled Expand Plenty of time to reel it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Yeah, just a tad too late for us...as is, we get 4-6 PHL 12-14 Jersey, just outside NYC 20+....NYC oddly is a sharp cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:49 AM, Prestige Worldwide said: Plenty of time to reel it in Expand I’d take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 It's a Miller A, but has that Miller B type HECS cutoff that screws us.....develops in the gulf..swings out and then straight NNE for PHL north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:50 AM, stormtracker said: Yeah, just a tad too late for us...as is, we get 4-6 PHL 12-14 Jersey, just outside NYC 20+....NYC oddly is a sharp cutoff Expand Another 5”+ on top of what we have in 36hrs of be fine with that. Of course if it gets better so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:50 AM, TSSN+ said: I’d take it. Expand This far out, absolutely. We're gonna be tracking next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:52 AM, stormtracker said: This far out, absolutely. We're gonna be tracking next week Expand Lot of lack of sleep comin up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:49 AM, Deck Pic said: Expand I got in the bed and the Euro was at 117. With that look, there was no way I was closing this fucking laptop 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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