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Interior NW & NE Burbs 2025


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Large differences between 00z/1 GEFS vs EPS-GEPS for 3/8-10.  The latter two ensembles do not permit the southern system from coming north.  From looking at the 5H 06z/1 ensemble members...  it appears to me that a southern system will come north to affect our area with hazardous snow...  that's my opinion only, probably more 3/9.   I'll only back down when the GEFS shows WESTERLY flow here and confluence south of I80.  

All the 192hr 06z/1 green 5H members in the TN Valley is what I'm monitoring for change in the future. Alsmot looks like we're trying to separate streams. One day at a time. image.thumb.png.4dc8df10001be423555d6fd39baa47bc.png

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55 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Large differences between 00z/1 GEFS vs EPS-GEPS for 3/8-10.  The latter two ensembles do not permit the southern system from coming north.  From looking at the 5H 06z/1 ensemble members...  it appears to me that a southern system will come north to affect our area with hazardous snow...  that's my opinion only, probably more 3/9.   I'll only back down when the GEFS shows WESTERLY flow here and confluence south of I80.  

All the 192hr 06z/1 green 5H members in the TN Valley is what I'm monitoring for change in the future. Alsmot looks like we're trying to separate streams. One day at a time. image.thumb.png.4dc8df10001be423555d6fd39baa47bc.png

 

Screen Shot 2025-03-01 at 8.11.34 AM.png

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@BxEnginedon't judge, It had been a while since I had this delicious brew but that streak has ended as I'm enjoying them as my bride challenges me to a game of bar top curling. And I know that the pint glass is from a different brewery. A true beer, not that IPA crap but I digress. After a high of 58 down to 38 with an occasional flurry. 

IMG_1654.jpeg

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6 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

If it hasn’t already happened for you, you’ll know when the front is moving through. 

How come weather maps don't routinely show the fronts any more?

They used to be a fixture on the daily forecasts, not so much any more.

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6 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

@BxEnginedon't judge, It had been a while since I had this delicious brew but that streak has ended as I'm enjoying them as my bride challenges me to a game of bar top curling. And I know that the pint glass is from a different brewery. A true beer, not that IPA crap but I digress. After a high of 58 down to 38 with an occasional flurry. 

IMG_1654.jpeg

The pub is my favorite place. The great adirondack unfortunately closed last year suddenly. That spot had great beer and amazing steak. But if the pub ever closes im starting a gofundme to buy it. 

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6 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

@BxEnginedon't judge, It had been a while since I had this delicious brew but that streak has ended as I'm enjoying them as my bride challenges me to a game of bar top curling. And I know that the pint glass is from a different brewery. A true beer, not that IPA crap but I digress. After a high of 58 down to 38 with an occasional flurry. 

IMG_1654.jpeg

Good luck with the curling competition :thumbsup:

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11 hours ago, etudiant said:

How come weather maps don't routinely show the fronts any more?

They used to be a fixture on the daily forecasts, not so much any more.

I never liked the way they showed fronts on weather maps.  The lines are way too thick and I'd much rather they show a very thin line that updates every 30 minutes to show the precise location of the front (as in which town it's currently in.)

 

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Wantage NJ low 15.1 with wind and another slight dusting of snow on the ground by 5AM. 

Small possibly hazardous snow for the period 3/8-10 continues to look good, also now 3/14-16 period mixed. 

Small chance damaging wind potential Wed aft/eve convection, looks potentially somewhat  more significant on NW flow across the ridges Thu night. 

Optics on WPC D7 qpf and chance 4" of snow (3z-05z/2) doesn't seem well coordinated.

Problems for the public could start cropping up very soon on weather information dissemination from government sources. 

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