wdrag Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Large differences between 00z/1 GEFS vs EPS-GEPS for 3/8-10. The latter two ensembles do not permit the southern system from coming north. From looking at the 5H 06z/1 ensemble members... it appears to me that a southern system will come north to affect our area with hazardous snow... that's my opinion only, probably more 3/9. I'll only back down when the GEFS shows WESTERLY flow here and confluence south of I80. All the 192hr 06z/1 green 5H members in the TN Valley is what I'm monitoring for change in the future. Alsmot looks like we're trying to separate streams. One day at a time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 55 minutes ago, wdrag said: Large differences between 00z/1 GEFS vs EPS-GEPS for 3/8-10. The latter two ensembles do not permit the southern system from coming north. From looking at the 5H 06z/1 ensemble members... it appears to me that a southern system will come north to affect our area with hazardous snow... that's my opinion only, probably more 3/9. I'll only back down when the GEFS shows WESTERLY flow here and confluence south of I80. All the 192hr 06z/1 green 5H members in the TN Valley is what I'm monitoring for change in the future. Alsmot looks like we're trying to separate streams. One day at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 If it hasn’t already happened for you, you’ll know when the front is moving through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 @BxEnginedon't judge, It had been a while since I had this delicious brew but that streak has ended as I'm enjoying them as my bride challenges me to a game of bar top curling. And I know that the pint glass is from a different brewery. A true beer, not that IPA crap but I digress. After a high of 58 down to 38 with an occasional flurry. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 I was in SE CT when the front went thru, temp went from 62°>44° in just a few minutes and there was a light squall as it dropped through the 50s. That was cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 6 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: If it hasn’t already happened for you, you’ll know when the front is moving through. How come weather maps don't routinely show the fronts any more? They used to be a fixture on the daily forecasts, not so much any more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 2 Author Share Posted March 2 4 minutes ago, etudiant said: How come weather maps don't routinely show the fronts any more? They used to be a fixture on the daily forecasts, not so much any more. I'll go here to look at the fronts: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ovw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 6 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: @BxEnginedon't judge, It had been a while since I had this delicious brew but that streak has ended as I'm enjoying them as my bride challenges me to a game of bar top curling. And I know that the pint glass is from a different brewery. A true beer, not that IPA crap but I digress. After a high of 58 down to 38 with an occasional flurry. The pub is my favorite place. The great adirondack unfortunately closed last year suddenly. That spot had great beer and amazing steak. But if the pub ever closes im starting a gofundme to buy it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 6 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: @BxEnginedon't judge, It had been a while since I had this delicious brew but that streak has ended as I'm enjoying them as my bride challenges me to a game of bar top curling. And I know that the pint glass is from a different brewery. A true beer, not that IPA crap but I digress. After a high of 58 down to 38 with an occasional flurry. Good luck with the curling competition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 11 hours ago, etudiant said: How come weather maps don't routinely show the fronts any more? They used to be a fixture on the daily forecasts, not so much any more. I never liked the way they showed fronts on weather maps. The lines are way too thick and I'd much rather they show a very thin line that updates every 30 minutes to show the precise location of the front (as in which town it's currently in.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Got down to 17f here in the tropics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 2 Author Share Posted March 2 25 minutes ago, Hitman said: Got down to 17f here in the tropics Low was only 16 for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Wantage NJ low 15.1 with wind and another slight dusting of snow on the ground by 5AM. Small possibly hazardous snow for the period 3/8-10 continues to look good, also now 3/14-16 period mixed. Small chance damaging wind potential Wed aft/eve convection, looks potentially somewhat more significant on NW flow across the ridges Thu night. Optics on WPC D7 qpf and chance 4" of snow (3z-05z/2) doesn't seem well coordinated. Problems for the public could start cropping up very soon on weather information dissemination from government sources. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 3 Author Share Posted March 3 Holding on for dear life... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Wednesday at 12:59 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 12:59 PM It didn't take long into my little commute to find out that this inversion was less than 100 feet above my yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted Thursday at 12:43 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:43 AM 1.14” in the hopper. Healthy dose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Thursday at 10:39 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 10:39 AM .70" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted Thursday at 01:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:55 PM .88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted Thursday at 04:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:16 PM .99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted yesterday at 02:04 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:04 PM So this is the best we can do in what was once a long-long outlook (Feb 27 start) for a hazardous wintry snow event here this 3/6-10 period. Flurries now, maybe again tomorrow morning, maybe again Sunday night? Northern stream didnt deepen-dig quite as much modeled, probably because it left the southern stream energy behind so no phasing. Flurries are not a victory,but the chosen period was reasonable when outlooked earlier in the thread. More opportunities for 3/17 and beyond. First we may see heavy rain and high wind next weekend. No threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted yesterday at 02:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:15 PM Pretty cool squall moving through now, left a nice thin coating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM vsby 3/4SW- here in Wantage NJ. melting as it falls 31.5 down from earlier--916A Trace of whitening on grass/dirt but only a T and snowboards wet. 919A. sun out, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 2 hours ago, wdrag said: So this is the best we can do in what was once a long-long outlook (Feb 27 start) for a hazardous wintry snow event here this 3/6-10 period. Flurries now, maybe again tomorrow morning, maybe again Sunday night? Northern stream didnt deepen-dig quite as much modeled, probably because it left the southern stream energy behind so no phasing. Flurries are not a victory,but the chosen period was reasonable when outlooked earlier in the thread. More opportunities for 3/17 and beyond. First we may see heavy rain and high wind next weekend. No threads. It's good that the weather won't mess up the pi day total lunar eclipse 3/14 at 3:14 am lol (totality is really from 2:30 to 3:30 am). it can rain after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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