Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,786
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Cabby
    Newest Member
    Cabby
    Joined

Interior NW & NE Burbs 2025


 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

Olympic bobsleigh and luge time trials in my driveway today. If you want tickets I'll give you all a discount code. All except @BxEngineof course. 

That reminds me, gotta root for the italians to fail. If the bobsled/luge track isnt done soon, the sliding events for next winters olympics will be in lake placid. That would be incredibly cool.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

A couple south facing slopes under trees in my yard are becoming bare but still a solid 4” at the stake. 

3-4 inch snow depth here, very few bare spots, a couple at best, 98% coverage.

46 days now of snow cover this season, with only 30.3 inches of snow so far for the whole season That's the cold air doing it's job, with roughly the same amount of snow as the last two winters. This winter already blows those two away, which is a low bar.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just did a quick up and back to the Kartrite water park with the kids. Packed, but the kids had fun.

Once you get north of Port Jervis on Rt. 42 the snow pack builds considerably. 

I have some grass showing down this way, which should melt out this week. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/17/2025 at 10:09 AM, BxEngine said:

That reminds me, gotta root for the italians to fail. If the bobsled/luge track isnt done soon, the sliding events for next winters olympics will be in lake placid. That would be incredibly cool.

I thought I commented on this….but nah. I thought my brother and I were the only ones interested in that. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/17/2025 at 8:54 AM, IrishRob17 said:

Olympic bobsleigh and luge time trials in my driveway today. If you want tickets I'll give you all a discount code. All except @BxEngineof course. 

I’m currently renting out my driveway for mud wrestling competitions. If you are interested I’ll give you a discount code. All except @BxEngine of course. 

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ensembles say we're in the game even if LI is shut out the next two weeks.

North of I84 has a little hazardous covering early Thursday (snow or ice). 

Outlook beyond for the I84 corridor: while there might be a minor less than 2" event there in the hills this weekend, the more widespread risk for a period of hazardous snow and ice exists between March 6-10. Too early to be sure, since those events could end up wet, but if you like snow, March 6-10 is the better opportunity. AFTER March 12, a potentially lengthy eastern USA warmup should develop that could result in periodic much above normal temps between roughly March 12-21-looking like springlike conditions.

  • Thanks 3
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, wdrag said:

Ensembles say we're in the game even if LI is shut out the next two weeks.

North of I84 has a little hazardous covering early Thursday (snow or ice). 

Outlook beyond for the I84 corridor: while there might be a minor less than 2" event there in the hills this weekend, the more widespread risk for a period of hazardous snow and ice exists between March 6-10. Too early to be sure, since those events could end up wet, but if you like snow, March 6-10 is the better opportunity. AFTER March 12, a potentially lengthy eastern USA warmup should develop that could result in periodic much above normal temps between roughly March 12-21-looking like springlike conditions.

Thanks Walt,  we’ll see what happens with this time period. The 18z GFS today is showing 2 events in this timeframe. This could be the grand finale for the snow possibility’s this season. Subject to change as always :)

 

 

IMG_1712.png

IMG_1711.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm officially calling an end to the snow cover today. Shaded areas still holding out tough but full sun areas are done.

With only 30.3 inches of snow so far this season there have been exactly 50 days of solid snow cover. Would have liked more snow, but the temperatures were average to slightly below so the Winter gets a C in my book so far for the 50 days of looking like winter, and the White Christmas as an added bonus. It could still grade out a B but that would take an above average snowfall March, right now that doesn't look likely.

Looking back this winter is very similar to 2021/22. We had 34.8 inches of snow and 53 days of snow cover, that winter.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, North and West said:

I need to be sure I visit this thread next season. Hope all of you have a wonderful warm season.


.

Question: You don't find weather interesting year round? We all have our favorites I'm sure but I've always wondered about the snow birds we have, and there are many of them.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Two days later,  March 5-6 event mostly wet (except maybe tail end?), but March 8-early 9 imo continues to look decent for a widespread wintry hazard I84 corridor. The ECAI will have to warm up in future cycles to prevent a slippery accumulation of ice and wet snow mainly just north of I84.

Models waffling here, back and forth.  Not writing this off.  06z/27 AI 2m temp pretty cold throughout the event just n of I84 and marginal (33-34F) just s of I84 where its maybe too warm for snow. This 32F 2M temp is even with the warmer northward shift since 00z/27.  

ECAI seems a bit too strong of a storm but definitely a nice following short wave to the 3/6 short wave.  For us up here I84 corridor,  I think we're in the game but not the kind of pure snow I like to see.  GRAPHCAST 2M T is.a little warm but 850 cold enough for snow accumulating in elevations entire I84 corridor. 

I will monitor for something hazardous 9 days (3/8) in advance and see if it holds, and maybe a comeback tail end on 3/5...again I84 corridor interests. 

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Question: You don't find weather interesting year round? We all have our favorites I'm sure but I've always wondered about the snow birds we have, and there are many of them.

I do; life is just busier then. I find some thunderstorm development interesting, but it’s just easier to use this app when it’s dark and cold.


.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/26/2025 at 10:15 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

I'm officially calling an end to the snow cover today. Shaded areas still holding out tough but full sun areas are done.

With only 30.3 inches of snow so far this season there have been exactly 50 days of solid snow cover. Would have liked more snow, but the temperatures were average to slightly below so the Winter gets a C in my book so far for the 50 days of looking like winter, and the White Christmas as an added bonus. It could still grade out a B but that would take an above average snowfall March, right now that doesn't look likely.

Looking back this winter is very similar to 2021/22. We had 34.8 inches of snow and 53 days of snow cover, that winter.

 

I don't get into the whole grading system for seasons but this winter season looks likely to be below average again for snowfall IMBY. That would make 6 of the last 7 winters, although 18-19 was only 1.2" below, so that's close enough to normal IMO but 4 of those winters are double digit below average, we'll see if March can somehow bring this year out another potential double digit deficit. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

fwiw.... 12z/27 EC AI already out... further s and pretty big for wintry event I84.  Has to be wrong... only 1 member.  Can't count on this. Ditto 3 cycles of the GEFS 24 hr snow depth change showing 1-3" accums I84.  I'll leave it alone for a day of cycles to see if anything continues significant FOR US.  This is the only widespread hope on the horizon for our area so far and it's in the realm of low reliability. 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

As far I'm concerned, we're still in the game for the 8th-9th... modeling all over the place.  There is no ECAI EPS yet... give this 3 more days to ferret out the multiple solutions. We should know by wakeup 3/4 whether there is a legit risk for a hazardous weather event.   Trop tidbits is much faster displaying the ECAI MSLP and qpf. while Pivotal so far, is slower on delivery but much more info including snowfall. 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...