Upstate Tiger Posted Saturday at 04:04 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:04 AM Yep. Very similar to 18z so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 04:09 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:09 AM 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: East with the heaviest precipitation Looks like the setup is the same and the totals in eastern NC are very similar. Just a sharper cutoff in central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 04:09 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:09 AM 0z GFS didn't have as much moisture as 18z and went east a touch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:09 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:09 AM Just now, lilj4425 said: It’s moving the wrong way. People are seeing what they want to see right now. It has trended slowly east since 12Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted Saturday at 04:10 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:10 AM Just now, lilj4425 said: It’s moving the wrong way. Yeah lmao. Still warming trend continuing here. At this rate, it's gonna be 70F and chasing tornadoes and shit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:12 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:12 AM Canadian looks about the same as 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 04:13 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:13 AM Incoming on the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 04:14 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:14 AM Canadian still looking great. Further west than the GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted Saturday at 04:14 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:14 AM Canadian looks strong thus far. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:14 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:14 AM Canadian is a little better than 12Z for western sections. If only it was the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 04:15 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:15 AM 0z CMC with a Big run incoming.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 04:15 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:15 AM The CMC went back NW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 04:15 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:15 AM If the Canadian and GFS could meet in the middle this would be a big storm for a lot of folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:17 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:17 AM If the Euro is going to start that move west, it needs to tonight for us western folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 04:19 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:19 AM Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 04:19 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:19 AM 0z CMC - Foot to a Foot in a half in some areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Saturday at 04:20 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:20 AM Canadian looks about the same as 12Z. Canadian has to be right… im in a giant snow hole.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted Saturday at 04:20 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:20 AM 3 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: You beat me to it Brick . Would love to see that radar become reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 04:20 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:20 AM Well 1 thing is for sure, probably by tomorrow/Sunday ... Some models are gonna start caving .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 04:22 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:22 AM 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Well 1 thing is for sure, probably by tomorrow/Sunday ... Some models are gonna start caving .. Euro with virtually nothing except right on the beach, GFS goes from nothing to a decent storm from the Triangle to the coast with higher totals at the coast, and Canadian has had run after run of a huge storm for almost everyone. And we're about 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Saturday at 04:23 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:23 AM So either I get a foot of snow or sunny skies. Glad to see the models are in tandem with each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Saturday at 04:24 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:24 AM Canadian backs totals up further NW than 12z. The biggest difference between the Canadian and the GFS is the Canadian seems to have more separation from the confluence in the Atlantic and digs the SW deeper and more neutral. It's seems like the GFS is being strung along with the energy in front of it and can't dig as much and basically is more flat and gets pulled along to the east. Also the GFS never fully separates from the energy in the southern Pacific which also keeps it from digging more. The GFS also has two waves of low pressure which almost looks like a Miller B ish type transfer into the Atlantic where as the Canadian seems to be more of a Miller A single low tracking across the gulf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM This board would blow up if we woke up in the morning and the 6z GFS showed something similar to the CMC. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM 4 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: So either I get a foot of snow or sunny skies. Glad to see the models are in tandem with each other. Yeah lol. It feels like I'm forecasting in Australia where none of the models agree with each other 12 hours out. I'm just gonna go with the models that don't show any wintry precipitation and use that as an excuse not to expect snow and then be surprised and appalled if it does snow. I'm on vacation rn so my forecasting skills don't matter. Not talking to any airforce pilots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM Just now, BornAgain13 said: This board would blow up if we woke up in the morning and the 6z Euro showed something similar to the CMC. FIFY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 04:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:29 AM 0Z models all show a 2nd wave just offshore the SE that will need to be watched for Thu/Thu nite. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 04:32 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:32 AM 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: FIFY Nice lol. I don't think the euro is budging unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Saturday at 04:33 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:33 AM The GFS has two waves of low pressure here, can someone with more knowledge than me explain how this might be effecting the overall moisture transport to the north and development of the storm vs a single low pressure? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 04:43 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:43 AM GFS ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 04:56 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:56 AM 1 hour ago, GaWx said: 84 hour 0Z RGEM fwiw has not quite as strong Arctic high nearby and 540/546 thicknesses are slightly further N ahead of the low vs 12Z CMC 96. I wonder if this means 0Z CMC will be slightly further north than 12Z with snow line. 72 hour 0Z Uk vs 84 hour 12Z: similar to CMC…I bet snow line further N than 12Z Uk but keep in mind Pivotal Uk snow maps not accurate on SE side due to counting Ip/ZR as SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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