ATDoel Posted Thursday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:55 PM 18 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Oh if only the CMC could be right... I mean, when does it actually beat the GFS and Euro? Seems to almost always be the model that's out, looking in. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Thursday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:56 PM Euro and euro-ai not looking good for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Thursday at 05:57 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:57 PM 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: CMC ensembles still support the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM And the GFS ensembles don't support the op. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM Differences between the 0z and 12z Euro are mostly noise I think, but keep in mind the 6z was well south of both, so a positive trends there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Thursday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:05 PM 19 minutes ago, metalicwx367 said: Jesus Christ. That 12Z Euro snowfall would be the heaviest snowfall in decades for most of in and near the blue area from immediate SAV, which got a little less, ~2” of snow/sleet in Jan of 2018, to Alma, Waycross, Valdosta, Albany, TLH, and Pensacola. So, I’m taking with a huge grain for now, of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Thursday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:06 PM It looks like this storm could be the big one for areas that usually miss out on a lot. I would love for the CMC to be right... That's a hit for most of everyone on this forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM If Savannah gets more snow then I do this Winter, I might finally lose my sh*t and get banned from this forum. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Thursday at 06:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:09 PM EPS moved the other direction, much more suppressed 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted Thursday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:10 PM 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: If Savannah gets more snow then I do this Winter, I might finally lose my sh*t and get banned from this forum. Let's both out together in a blaze of glory... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Thursday at 06:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:13 PM Most may find it counterintuitive but 2 of the 3 biggest snowfalls in North Carolina history came in the eastern part of the state, rather than the mountains https://www.wral.com/amp/21185118/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Thursday at 06:13 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 06:13 PM 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: EPS moved the other direction, much more suppressed Yikes. Not what I was hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Thursday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:14 PM 1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: First half of January 2025 Maine is torched. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: EPS moved the other direction, much more suppressed It's just slower. It actually trended better if you go out into Thu AM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM 5 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: EPS moved the other direction, much more suppressed Now this is not a good sign for anyone. Ouch. That's GFS Like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM 1 hour ago, Upstatesnowbird said: Lived in the upstate of SC for 40 years I’m telling you this will trend back our way on all models. Come on too cold for snow never here it will relax and trend our way. It’s past due for us in the upstate. we are for sure way over due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Thursday at 06:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:16 PM 1 hour ago, lilj4425 said: If Savannah gets more snow then I do this Winter, I might finally lose my sh*t and get banned from this forum. SAV has had more snow than GSP in the last 130+ years only 2 times: 1967-8 and 1989-90. So, only happened ~1.5% of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Thursday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:17 PM 1 minute ago, Cheeznado said: It's just slower. It actually trended better if you go out into Thu AM Yes, the first wave is mostly a Wednesday system now on all models. It slowed down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Thursday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:18 PM 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Now this is not a good sign for anyone. Ouch. That's GFS Like 2 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: It's just slower. It actually trended better if you go out into Thu AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted Thursday at 06:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:28 PM I have digested all the models over the last 24 hours... I am now prepared to predict that someone north of I-10, south of I-40, and east of I-75 will see wintry precipitation between Sunday and Friday. Can I get my red tag? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Thursday at 06:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:28 PM Gonna be painful to see Cantore in Charleston while I’m high and dry but I’m happy for you guys way down south. This could be an event you remember on your death bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: Gonna be painful to see Cantore in Charleston while I’m high and dry but I’m happy for you guys way down south. This could be an event you remember on your death bed. Very true. We may very well be high and dry up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM We’ve reached the “bet on the the Canadian/Icon over the GFS/EURO” phase of tracking here. In layman’s terms, we’re cooked 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Thursday at 06:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:47 PM 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: We’ve reached the “bet on the the Canadian/Icon over the GFS/EURO” phase of tracking here. In layman’s terms, we’re cooked I’ll pick you up for our chase to Emerald Isle next Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: We’ve reached the “bet on the the Canadian/Icon over the GFS/EURO” phase of tracking here. In layman’s terms, we’re cooked Yes, northwest of Charlotte to the Triad and north of there is probably ok to step back from the computer at this point. According to Dr. Wall, a NW trend is highly unlikely which should make many on this board excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM This 12Z CMC ensemble precip type map below as of 1AM Wed morning illustrates the difficulty in trying to forecast the main precip type in SE GA for Tue/Wed: -Waycross: misses precip to suppression for one member (# 3); mainly rain only once (# 20); mainly snow/sleet for 9 members (#7 and #11 have snow on next frame); mainly ZR for 9 members -SAV: misses precip to suppression for one member (# 3); mainly snow/sleet for 13 members; mainly ZR for 6 members @metalicwx367 @gtg947h @Awesomesauce81 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM Not giving up yet, we've seen this before, the old NW Trend doesn't show up till a couple of days before the storm. I have seen the models come NW the last day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM Why are people jumping off a cliff already? We are back and forth. It's not like the storm has completely vaporized. Hang in there. Plenty of time for all of us 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM I'm pulling for all the coastal folks! Hope yall get the Big One!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Thursday at 06:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:54 PM 1 minute ago, suzook said: Why are people jumping off a cliff already? We are back and forth. It's not like the storm has completely vaporized. Hang in there. Plenty of time for all of us Because the board has a higher representation from the foothills / mtns than population that actually live there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now