Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[buckeyefan1]

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

Who needs the Tuesday storm when you can have the Sunday storm!?!

I'd love the big one the models were showing yesterday morning and earlier, but Sunday night would do.

[wncsnow]

If you think you are going to get much Sunday night, I have some beachfront property in Old Fort to sell you. 

[buckeyefan1]

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

12Z GFS has snow for a portion of coastal SC and NC Tue night!

Snow for SE coast CHS NE late on Tue night/Wed morning (1/22): so GFS is back to coastal wintry within 1/21 like the prior 10 we’re before today’s 6Z blank:

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, wncsnow said:

If you think you are going to get much Sunday night, I have some beachfront property in Old Fort to sell you. 

No one thinks sunday night is more than mood flakes. I was kidding. Virginia might get something tho

[BornAgain13]

Canada says Hey check me out!

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Yep. Not gonna work

[wncsnow]

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

No one thinks sunday night is more than mood flakes. I was kidding. Virginia might get something tho

Maybe northern VA. 

[BornAgain13]

CMC and GFS are worlds difference. CMC bringing the heat

[NorthHillsWx]

OH Canada 

[Brick Tamland]

Yeah, the Canadian is much better for the big one.

[wncsnow]

While the Canadian shows a storm, it's a step down from last night's run. 

[BornAgain13]

GFS says I'm delayed but not denied... Forming something towards the end of the week.

[wncsnow]

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

GFS says I'm delayed but not denied... Forming something towards the end of the week.

That's what's not gonna work. Unless you want ice.

[Cheeznado]

Th GFS much slower and farther north.

[Brick Tamland]

[GaWx]

12Z GFS has Brooksville (BKV way down in west C FL) getting rain at 10AM on Tue (1/21) while at 35F with a dewpoint of 29F. That shows how close a call even way down there this could be if there is anything 1/21:

 

[BornAgain13]

Just now, wncsnow said:

That's what's not gonna work. Unless you want ice.

Still get a good snow out of it!

[Brick Tamland]

Canadian looks more like the big hits the models were showing earlier.

[BornAgain13]

GFS delayed but not Denied

[BornAgain13]

CMC Kuchera

[Brick Tamland]

Instead of having something Tuesday into Wednesday next week, GFS has something Friday into Saturday.

 

[BornAgain13]

Oh if that wasn't enough , the CMC brings ICE at the end of its run lol. Wow y'all very active!!

[olafminesaw]

Totally different storm on the GFS, I wouldn't say delayed because the first one gets squashed and exits stage right and then a couple days later a new vortex emerges

[Brick Tamland]

Models are all over the place now. GFS with some snow here Sunday night, nothing next Tuesday into Wednesday, and then a little storm Friday into Saturday. Meanwhile the Canadian has a decent storm here again next Wednesday into Thursday. Lots of things to work out still.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[GaWx]

12Z CMC: no thank you for this modeled disaster of 1.78” of ZR at Hunter/2.32” at SAV but fortunately this is highly likely overdone and also CMC has a low level cold bias, especially considering that the low passes by not too far offshore:

 

Sleet:

[QC_Halo]

Sorry guys. Gonna be too cold to snow.

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DE1ScKsMkAn/?igsh=eG5zOHFxcWR1MDR1

[BooneWX]

20 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Canadian looks more like the big hits the models were showing earlier.

We should note the consistency of the Canadian. 0Z to 6z to 12z have been slightly different totals but same storm evolution and footprint.