frazdaddy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 5:55 PM, The Alchemist said: I hope I’m not speaking out of turn as I don’t know the personal ins and outs of most of the posters on this board. I’m more of a lurker than anything else. But I wonder what the chances are of getting Burgertime to do a play-by-play of the European Friday night or Saturday night… It’d be fun for old times sake and really bring some good mojo to the board. . Expand He is in the Netherlands. Time difference issues. I just sent him a text. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:26 PM, Cheeznado said: EPS more suppressed. Expand Don't think the run is finished... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 This is a pretty significant jump from 0z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:39 PM, BooneWX said: . Expand Some monster hits in their! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:38 PM, Upstate Tiger said: That was the overruning storm I alluded to yesterday. Was in the teens in the Carolinas during the storm with record snow and stayed cold for about a week afterword. Expand My family moved from Iowa in 87 and then Charlotte got record snowfalls from that storm in 88 lol. They thought they didn’t get away from the snow. Only took 16 more years to get another storm like that in 2004 hah. Maybe 21 years later we can threepeat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 96 HR EPS for that time period 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:38 PM, BornAgain13 said: Don't think the run is finished... Expand Correct. Here are the actual totals: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Burger says he will try to make the Euro tonight @The Alchemist. @Bevo 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 5:06 PM, BornAgain13 said: The UK I believe was about to bring a big storm! Expand The US Airforce GALWEM which is based on the UK model was a decent hit for Northern Florida, Central to South Georgia, majority of South Carolina, and central to eastern North Carolina. Pretty much all snow and on the back end of the storm even brings frozen precip down to Orlando and Tampa. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Still about half of the GEFS members are dry. A lot of spread still. As with the last system we will have to wait until the short wave topping the ridge comes into the more data dense regions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:48 PM, metalicwx367 said: The US Airforce GALWEM which is based on the UK model was a decent hit for Northern Florida, Central to South Georgia, majority of South Carolina, and central to eastern North Carolina. Pretty much all snow and on the back end of the storm even brings frozen precip down to Orlando and Tampa. Expand Oh my , the band really is back together! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:33 PM, GaWx said: 1/7/1988. 4.2” officially of mainly sleet at KATL and maybe a little less in Dunwoody. Stayed on the ground for a long time! Opposite (sort of) occurred 2/1979. Was expected to be mainly snow and ended up almost all sleet (4.2” also at KATL!!) after no more than first hour or so of snow. Expand I recall 88, the warm nose was totally missed. I also remember one in the early 90s, forecast was basically nothing and there was 5 inches at ATL. I think it was supposed to miss well to the south in Macon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:50 PM, Cheeznado said: Still about half of the GEFS members are dry. A lot of spread still. As with the last system we will have to wait until the short wave topping the ridge comes into the more data dense regions. Are they dry or sleet or freezing rain? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:43 PM, BornAgain13 said: 96 HR EPS for that time period Expand I’ve saved a lot of EPS mean snow maps with lots of snow and this one easily takes the cake for the heaviest overall from E half of NC to the Gulf coast, especially this far out! This is massive for being 7 days out, especially in those areas. Some of the members start as snow as early as late afternoon on Mon (1/20). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Canadian ensembles are going to be good, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 To those worrying about rain. I think the margin for error on the models here will be more towards the east given the degree of cold. This airmass is Siberian in nature due to the +PNA/Cross Polar flow. It's been a while since we've seen a HP quite like this sitting over the Plaines. Not saying it can't/won't be ice, but I think an OTS solution is more likely than an Apps cutter, for example. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 12Z 1/3/24 EPS 7 days before 1/10 storm (ignore VA/KY and further north snow as that was from an earlier storm): 12Z 1/14/24 EPS 7 days before projected 1/21 storm: 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:52 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I recall 88, the warm nose was totally missed. I also remember one in the early 90s, forecast was basically nothing and there was 5 inches at ATL. I think it was supposed to miss well to the south in Macon. Expand Proabably Saturday 1/17/92. Did not get a drop in the upstate while central Ga got 5" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Canadian ensembles mean. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I can’t underscore for folks enough how big and wild a 3.5-4 inch ensemble mean across all models is for coastal NC at 7 days 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:39 PM, BooneWX said: .Ens 45 is a dead ringer 1973 reduxSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 EPS members similar to the GEFS, aprrox half have no snow or little snow, there are 14 members with> 4" here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 These are the best ensembles we may have ever seen at this range. Unbelievable trends today on that front. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 7:36 PM, Cheeznado said: EPS members similar to the GEFS, aprrox half have no snow or little snow, there are 14 members with> 4" here. Expand Because you’re using ATL as the marker, wonder how many of those dry there still have snow in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 7:38 PM, StantonParkHoya said: Because you’re using ATL as the marker, wonder how many of those dry there still have snow in the east Expand I checked a number of stations in NC and SC, all have ~50% with over .5" of snow, but more big hits than ATL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATDoel Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 7:36 PM, Cheeznado said: EPS members similar to the GEFS, aprrox half have no snow or little snow, there are 14 members with> 4" here. Expand What does it look like for Birmingham, similar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 7:48 PM, ATDoel said: What does it look like for Birmingham, similar? Expand A few more dry runs than ATL, (or specifically PDK). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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