Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[Brick Tamland]

10 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said:

Brick..don't do this to yourself

[blueheels2]

I’ll believe it when I’m standing in 10” of snow and it’s still snowing.

[StantonParkHoya]

bookmark as one of the weeniest runs of all time for coastal plain NC

[StantonParkHoya]

My favorite frame 

[olafminesaw]

1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said:

I feel really good about this one. Euro with a huge storm and then the GFS follows up with a huge storm, too. Not as big as the Euro, but still a big coastal bomb. Euro is usually good at sniffing out the big ones in the long range. Maybe it might not be as big as the Euro and GFS show, but I think this will be the biggest one we have had here in NC in a while.

I've been around long enough to know, that combo is a lock for DC special, or clear blue skies with falling iguananas alerts in Florida 

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said:

That last Euro run really was a thing of beauty for all of NC. Comes in a little later and close to the anniversary of the Carolina Crusher.

 

 

 

Brick, there hasn’t been a SE storm of this magnitude AND breadth on record going back 150 years! This is like 2/1973 on steroids and 2/1973 without steroids was incredible. So, odds of this combined with the massive N FL Pan/deep SE/coast icestorm verifying closely are infinitesimally tiny. There’s a better chance for me to decide to run for Pres of the US and that’s something I have less than zero interest in ever doing.

 We all should keep in mind that a NW trend though not a lock is always likely if there is a storm around then due to cold model biases. It isn’t really a NW trend but rather the models typically being too far SE in the first place because the atmosphere is modeled colder than reality.

[frazdaddy]

Let us in our pessimism not forget the recent past when even the 240 hour fantasy clown maps were forgiven us. Let us rejoice in the gift of virtual snow.

[Brick Tamland]

3 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Brick, there hasn’t been a storm of this magnitude and breadth on record going back 150 years! This is like 2/1973 on steroids and 2/1973 without steroids was incredible. So, odds of this combined with the massive N FL Pan/deep SE/coast icestorm verifying closely are infinitesimally tiny. There’s a better chance for me to decide to run for Pres of the US and that’s something I have less than zero interest in ever doing.

 The NW trend though not a lock is highly likely if there is a storm around then due to cold model biases.

Sounds like we're due then.

[StantonParkHoya]

8 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Brick, there hasn’t been a SE storm of this magnitude AND breadth on record going back 150 years! This is like 2/1973 on steroids and 2/1973 without steroids was incredible. So, odds of this combined with the massive N FL Pan/deep SE/coast icestorm verifying closely are infinitesimally tiny. There’s a better chance for me to decide to run for Pres of the US and that’s something I have less than zero interest in ever doing.

 We all should keep in mind that a NW trend though not a lock is always likely if there is a storm around then due to cold model biases. It isn’t really a NW trend but rather the models typically being too far SE in the first place because the atmosphere is modeled colder than reality.

This is 1973 meets 2000 meets 1993 Frankenstein

[lilj4425]

What time does the Euro run…so I can cry? 

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, lilj4425 said:

What time does the Euro run…so I can cry? 

Not soon enough.

[BornAgain13]

Brick, I like your optimism man! Let's reel it in!

[btownheel]

Hey, last year at this time model runs were just 10+ days of never ending death ridge. This is way more fun!


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[Brick Tamland]

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

Brick, I like your optimism man! Let's reel it in!

[frazdaddy]

10 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Not soon enough.

Told you you weren’t going to sleep tonight.

[ObiWanKarlNobi]

"Brick, let me get this straight.  You took all your money and bet it *against* the Northwest trend?"
"I thought the Triangle was due!"

[NorthHillsWx]

This place has changed since last year 

[BooneWX]

17 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This place has changed since last year 

I knew this place would come back to life when the pacific jet decided to go touch grass at some point in its existence 

[strongwxnc]

Like the old days in here. 

[BooneWX]

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[snowmaker13]

Euro AI also shows something!

[jburns]

1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said:

Sounds like we're due then.

Congratulations!!!

Go to the Crosswinds Boating Center on Jordan Lake to pick up your prize.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[StantonParkHoya]

49 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This place has changed since last year 

Let’s party like it’s 2009 again

[BornAgain13]

The AI actually has a moderate wintry event for northern NC into VA at day 8/9.

[olafminesaw]

59 minutes ago, ObiWanKarlNobi said:

"Brick, let me get this straight.  You took all your money and bet it *against* the Northwest trend?"
"I thought the Triangle was due!"

Let's just say Brick is fortunate he's not as passionate about slot machines as he is snow

[StantonParkHoya]

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The AI actually has a moderate wintry event for northern NC into VA at day 8/9.

And it develops the low from the megabomb, just a little too offshore. I like where we sit.

[Clemsonlady]

I enjoy all of this!


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[WiseWeather]

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I might just have to post this on FB.


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[tarheelwx]

44 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The AI actually has a moderate wintry event for northern NC into VA at day 8/9.

Looked more like rain chasing moisture to me.  Lots of time.  
TW

[WiseWeather]

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