WXNewton Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Canadian coming in with a bigger storm compared to previous runs I was about to say that, definitely a lot more developed when compared to 12z. Looks promising...it's a major winter storm for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 CMC with a Major Snow Storm in VA, Major ICE storm for the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: CMC with a Major Snow Storm in VA, Major ICE storm for the Carolinas. Seems like where we are headed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Canadian looks a little colder than the latest GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Southern VA gets hammered per CMC with moderate to Heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Foot + totals in southern VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Models are trending toward a stronger system and more of a phase IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Have to hope it trends colder and there is more snow here than ice. It's not far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Maybe the models will catch on to the big snowpack to our north the next couple of days and help this system trend colder so most folks can cash in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, BornAgain13 said: Maybe the models will catch on to the big snowpack to our north the next couple of days and help this system trend colder so most folks can cash in Hopefully missing out on the storm tonight and tomorrow will end up helping us with next weekend's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 These trends are just plain bad no sugar coating it. I'm just glad we've got as much time as we do to maybe trend back the other way with more confluence over the top. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Just now, SnowDawg said: These trends are just plain bad no sugar coating it. I'm just glad we've got as much time as we do to maybe trend back the other way with more confluence over the top. I think it depends on the location of the phase and where you live. In NC the trends aren't terrible. A bigger storm could mean more snow if the track is right. The worst outcome would be a weak mess with little precip. Give me a qpf bomb and I will take my chances. Places in GA and SC don't want that though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I think we'll see the models trend colder further south after the current storm wraps up tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I still say for the deep south the real event happens somewhere from 160-220 hours out, you can really see the potential there on tonight's GFS if anything ejects along the Gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 11 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said: Just what we need after Helene. I’d rather have 33 and rain than this crap. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 A half+ inch of freezing rain is a disaster. I’d rather we have no storm at all. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 UK is looking juicier too. Might be amped though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 CMC trying for another storm at HR 228 in fantasy land 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I think it depends on the location of the phase and where you live. In NC the trends aren't terrible. A bigger storm could mean more snow if the track is right. The worst outcome would be a weak mess with little precip. Give me a qpf bomb and I will take my chances. Places in GA and SC don't want that though. Yeah I see what you're saying. I'm just worried about more amplification if our mid-level thermals are already such a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Just now, SnowDawg said: Yeah I see what you're saying. I'm just worried about more amplification if our mid-level thermals are already such a problem. That could definitely be a problem. A major ice storm is certainly on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 UK might be a nice compromise 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Ends up shearing it out again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I'll just say, and this is not analysis of any kind, but I'd say that kind of freezing rain is rarely that widespread and I'll belive it when I see it. Better/deeper low level cold from the snow pack to the north could give us a ton of sleet which I'll take any day over zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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