olafminesaw Posted Saturday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:53 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Saturday at 03:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:06 PM 10 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: I’m going to go out on a controversial limb here and say that so far this meteorological winter has exceeded my expectations, so if it turns warm down the stretch, so be it. My assumption with La Niña back in early Nov was that we’d experience widespread SER problems and have a litter of days in the 60s and 70s. Dec was seasonal to below average and January is shaping up to be the same. I hope we score next week because in hindsight, it’ll feel like a coup to me. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM I just want a warm March/April. So tired of the warm J/F then cold springs. Let’s go straight into 75 and trees blooming and stay there. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM Just now, BooneWX said: I’m going to go out on a controversial limb here and say that so far this meteorological winter has exceeded my expectations, so if it turns warm down the stretch, so be it. My assumption with La Niña back in early Nov was that we’d experience widespread SER problems and have a litter of days in the 60s and 70s. Dec was seasonal to below average and January is shaping up to be the same. I hope we score next week because in hindsight, it’ll feel like a coup to me. Yes, it's been cold, but still no snow to show for it here, and this would be the third year in a row without measurable snow if we don't get any here. The cold isn't fun to me unless there is snow to go with it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM 16 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: I had brought this up a few days ago. The cold just is not going to be as bad, as what the models were showing. Sure, it will be cold, but record cold? For most, that seems to be unrealistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 03:13 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 03:13 PM 3 minutes ago, suzook said: I had brought this up a few days ago. The cold just is not going to be as bad, as what the models were showing. Sure, it will be cold, but record cold? For most, that seems to be unrealistic. Just cold enough for snow works for me. I don't want to pipe busting cold. WNC doesn't need it. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 03:28 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:28 PM Ummm... Y'all check in on the 12z ICON .... Incoming... Looks like the cold is there to... Let's see what happens 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Saturday at 03:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:29 PM Just now, BornAgain13 said: Ummm... Y'all check in on the 12z ICON .... Incoming... Looks like the cold is there to... Let's see what happens very southern slider 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 03:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:30 PM Uhhh... Nevermind. Kinda falls apart. Some light stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:31 PM Not sure what happened to it. It was juiced up and then it faded quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Saturday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:31 PM 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Uhhh... Nevermind. Kinda falls apart. Some light stuff. Pretty cool to see freezing rain in the FL panhandle though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:33 PM 3 minutes ago, yoda said: very southern slider Good luck up there in the Mid Atlantic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 03:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:35 PM 12Z Icon: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Saturday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:40 PM 1 hour ago, eyewall said: I have a feeling we may ultimately lose this one to the north as well. That's always the most likely outcome. Previously, every once in a while the fail failed to fail and we got hit. Can that still happen going forward? TBD. But this looks like the best chance we've had in a while. Best is relative though. Still more likely to fail than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 03:47 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 03:47 PM I don't understand why it's getting so sheared out on pretty much every model. Moisture dies out before it reaches NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:48 PM 21 minutes ago, yoda said: Pretty cool to see freezing rain in the FL panhandle though Much of this in SE AL/SW GA is ZR with IP to the north below the snow with cold rain SC/SE GA and much of SC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Saturday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:48 PM I think our best bet may be the overrunning outcomes being show yesterday… less chance of a total dumpster fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Saturday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:54 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:03 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:03 PM Moisture is breaking out faster in Texas this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:07 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:07 PM Pretty amped and temps gonna be borderline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted Saturday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:10 PM Temps are a mess this run. Nothing is locking in the cold to the north. Rinse and repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:11 PM The more separation the worst the temps will be unless we have the cold high pressing further south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:11 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:11 PM We need stronger confluence in the NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:12 PM Just now, wncsnow said: We need stronger confluence in the NE Yeah I still think we see some more major changes to this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:12 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:12 PM Ends up getting sheared out again with less moisture into NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:14 PM The beginning Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM This run is a mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM Ends up and icy mess for 85 N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 04:16 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:16 PM Just now, Met1985 said: This run is a mess. It's almost Miller A/B hybrid with energy in the Ohio Valley screwing up the moisture transport and temps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 04:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:16 PM Just now, wncsnow said: It's almost Miller A/B hybrid with energy in the Ohio Valley screwing up the moisture transport and temps Yeah another weird solution. On to the next model run lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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