franklin NCwx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Best weenie run of the season from the GFS? Congrats hayesville! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The GFS is going to disappoint. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The GFS is going to disappoint. That looked solid thoughSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Inside 7 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 minutes ago, jburns said: The GFS is going to disappoint. No sir because I am bringing the mojo. How could any weather model not bow down to a dancing blue turd? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 0z UK was about to deliver! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z UK was about to deliver! Visuals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 It's warmer than the GFS but likely snow for the mountains and foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It's warmer than the GFS but likely snow for the mountains and foothills The 546 thickness line is often near the snow line in the SE. That keeps snow a bit north of ATL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 42 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Congrats hayesville! And Topton! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Easily the best GEFS run in awhile: 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Major changes on 0Z Euro! SW upper low gets ejected much earlier. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Euro and GFS are almost identical with the low placement at 168-174 in the western FLA panhandle. 1003 for GFS and stronger,1008 for Euro a bit weaker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 ATL gets much of its qpf in ZR/IP due to 850s of +2 to +3 and thicknesses near 552: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 0Z EPS: slight increase some, decrease others: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 hours ago, jburns said: Dude. This is the Southeast forum not the Ivy League Forum. Great Expectorant is more our speed. You would be correct. On closer examination I noticed that the falling precipitation is not frozen but liquid in form. It is also directed to a small select area and not widespread in coverage. That would be par for the course in our area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Whole thing is super warm all of a sudden. We went from white smoke to rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The overnight run of the GFS and Euro are worlds apart with the totals. 9 inches herr with the GFS and maybe 2 with the Euro. I would gladly take something in the middle. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 06z GFS still has the storm for next week... It was a little warmer than 0z but still high snow totals for some in NC and into VA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 0z EC- AIFS brought the storm back for next week... With a light to moderate event for some. No longer suppressed 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I just don't see how we score here. We went from cold enough to not cold enough for many in a run. A few more runs like that and we may be talking about severe weather here in the SE. Either it will be suppressed and cold enough, or models say it will be stronger and warmer. Story of the past 4 to 5 years here in the SE for many. These are the type of events we used to cash in on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: I just don't see how we score here. We went from cold enough to not cold enough for many in a run. A few more runs like that and we may be talking about severe weather here in the SE. Either it will be suppressed and cold enough, or models say it will be stronger and warmer. Story of the past 4 to 5 years here in the SE for many. These are the type of events we used to cash in on. Hopefully the models will trend colder because their is about to be a heavy snow pack layed to our north ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Hopefully the models can nail down the event on the 9th/10th, after the 1st one comes through. Still thinking GA snows are a pipe dream, guess the best I can hope for is a dusting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The 6z Euro is super amped. We need to figure out a way to get some cold air ASAP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I have a feeling we may ultimately lose this one to the north as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The fly in the ointment is this first system. I think we may see some wild swings after tomorrow with our 2nd system. Our cold air that follows system 1 is highly impactful on the end result of system 2. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The fly in the ointment is this first system. I think we may see some wild swings after tomorrow with our 2nd system. Our cold air that follows system 1 is highly impactful on the end result of system 2. Yeah this whole setup is far from being hammered down. I still don't like the low kind of being buried and delayed. But color me skeptical on that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The fly in the ointment is this first system. I think we may see some wild swings after tomorrow with our 2nd system. Our cold air that follows system 1 is highly impactful on the end result of system 2. So you saying we have to wait... I agree completely. But I hate waiting. LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 I have a decent feeling about this one. Especially for foothills and mountains. It could turn into a cold rain but I think it's our best shot 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 IF we do lose this one in central NC I think the chance at the futility record for Raleigh rises substantially. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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