Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[GaWx]

17 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Yay a killing freeze...

There’s been and continues to be no indication of a killing freeze (outside of the mountains, of course).

 Also, the last few GFS runs haven’t been as chilly. But I’m still looking forward to a reprieve from this week’s heat.

[GaWx]

The effect of SSWs down here (which in the current case will end up as a final warming similar to that of 2016 in that the reversal looks to remain through the warm season) often start with warmth followed by BN temps. The upcoming week will be an absolute torch before the cooldown.

0Z GEFS NAO forecast:

[wncsnow]

20 hours ago, GaWx said:

There’s been and continues to be no indication of a killing freeze (outside of the mountains, of course).

 Also, the last few GFS runs haven’t been as chilly. But I’m still looking forward to a reprieve from this week’s heat.

I disagree. The foothills and maybe even nw piedmont of NC have a shot of freezing temperatures the next couple weeks. There will be at least 2 cool downs during this period

[GaWx]

26 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I disagree. The foothills and maybe even nw piedmont of NC have a shot of freezing temperatures the next couple weeks. There will be at least 2 cool downs during this period

Further update: There continues to be no indication of a “killing freeze” outside of the mountains. “Killing freeze” is the wording you had first used and is what I was responding to. You had said: “Yay a killing freeze...”

[wncsnow]

49 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Further update: There continues to be no indication of a “killing freeze” outside of the mountains. “Killing freeze” is the wording you had first used and is what I was responding to. You had said: “Yay a killing freeze...”

I think its still possible for areas in the foothills and of course the mountains. We'll see. The Op euro was colder last night

[Met1985]

I wouldn't be surprised to see this multiple cold front pattern be colder than advertised. 

[Upstate Tiger]

17 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I wouldn't be surprised to see this multiple cold front pattern be colder than advertised. 

Yep.  Crazy looking at extended models and seeing how much snow is forecast across the US over the next 2 weeks.  Indication of how cold will be in the lower 48.  The pool will be frigid when it is opened in May.  

[Daniel Boone]

53 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I wouldn't be surprised to see this multiple cold front pattern be colder than advertised. 

Yes, and the Forecasts will most assuredly be warmer as they adjust to climatology.

[GaWx]

 Here are the coldest of today’s 12Z GFS and Euro for the upper SE overall: both are during the morning of April 9th:

GFS:

 

Euro:

[Met1985]

Euro definitely leading this cold blast. Has shown this pattern for several days coming up.

[StantonParkHoya]

Everyone wetting their pants over 39 degrees when it’s going to be 90 in 2 days

[Met1985]

48 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Everyone wetting their pants over 39 degrees when it’s going to be 90 in 2 days

That's what makes this even more impressive. 

[franklin NCwx]

1 hour ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Everyone wetting their pants over 39 degrees when it’s going to be 90 in 2 days

Glad we don't live there

[Upstate Tiger]

1 hour ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Everyone wetting their pants over 39 degrees when it’s going to be 90 in 2 days

That’s why I started wearing Depends.  

[GaWx]

Per FFC for Atlanta for April 4th:

FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.

 If this verifies at KATL, it would be the earliest in the season 90 on record by a whopping 19 days!

[dsaur]

2 hours ago, GaWx said:

Per FFC for Atlanta for April 4th:

FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.

 If this verifies at KATL, it would be the earliest in the season 90 on record by a whopping 19 days!

Yeah, this just ain't right!!  Below normal cold is ok, but record heat...no, just no, lol. And if only one verifies, you know which one that will be....