NorthHillsWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, CentralNC said: Hasn't the ICON sucked on virtually every storm this year? And every year. It is a totally different solution than 12z. Wouldn’t live or die by what it says but having it look more like other models today isn’t a bad thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, CentralNC said: Hasn't the ICON sucked on virtually every storm this year? *Every storm, every year* 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: And every year. It is a totally different solution than 12z. Wouldn’t live or die by what it says but having it look more like other models today isn’t a bad thing It did very well for the early Jan 2018 historic coastal SE winter storm. I remember it clearly as I was following it extra closely for obvious reasons. It was the first global to move the offshore low NNE instead of NE, which resulted in much higher qpf on the coast and that verified. So, this was at least an exception. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, GaWx said: It did very well for the early Jan 2018 historic coastal SE winter storm. I remember it clearly as I was following it extra closely for obvious reasons. It was the first global to move the offshore low NNE instead of NE, which resulted in much higher qpf on the coast. It’s hard to take it seriously here. It moved the low from cape fear to Mexico beach in one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Can u tell if it phases and captures or not on the vorticity maps? Def. more interaction this run, you can see the energy over the gulf digging more and going more towards neutral. A few more steps like that and i think its headed towards something good. Even if this run went past 120, I believe WNC was about to show more widespread snow. You can see the moisture on the last frame seems to build and expand more north out of SC vs pulling due east. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GFS looks unchanged at H5. Likely to be warm again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I only looked at the simulated radar but the GFS looked better on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 18Z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 It’s a late bloomer but it’s better than 12z I guess. Definitely more amped along the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GFS kinda looks like it did a couple of runs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Its still picking boogers or it's an idiot savant.. time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GFS is ice, ice baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 If this keeps up our fate will be quickly sealed for the year. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GEFS looks pretty good. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 30 minutes ago, eyewall said: If this keeps up our fate will be quickly sealed for the year. Not good. Yep… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 The 18z GEFS actually improved fwiw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 18z Euro was good for up this way but not as good as 12z. Still a decent event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I don't have the surface maps so I'm assuming their was still right much ZR in Northern NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I don't have the surface maps so I'm assuming their was still right much ZR in Northern NC It was colder at the surface. Ice all the way to the coast. I’d have to think there was a lot of sleet showing as freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 The ice threat is legit this go around. HP is str8 outta Compton (Siberia). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Tulsa has all you could ever want in weather within a few days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: The ice threat is legit this go around. HP is str8 outta Compton (Siberia). The low level CAA is strong with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 12 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: The ice threat is legit this go around. HP is str8 outta Compton (Siberia). Hey Hickory. You thinking the ice threat could get back to the upstate or ne ga or too early to tell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said: GEFS looks pretty good. If you live in WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 11 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: If you live in WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 GEFS was much more suppressed/wintry in the Carolina’s, FYI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, UpStateCAD said: Hey Hickory. You thinking the ice threat could get back to the upstate or ne ga or too early It's a bit far out to narrow that down. The parent high is a bit too far west to funnel a Wedge way south. But if the wave itself trends more suppressed then it will be a snowier solution (aka colder aloft). Too many variables at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18z UK Ensembles improved vs 12z. Especially for the northern piedmont of NC into VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 18Z euro was pretty good for nc foothills and mnts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The 18Z Euro AI is similarly quite suppressed to the 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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