BornAgain13 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 ICE here at the house 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Brick couldn't quite reel in the brick storm to everyone's satisfaction, this one is all Barney, work your magic anthropomorphized dinosaur 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 As miserable as it is, this is the perfect drought busting rain. Not too heavy and steady. We’re at 1.25” and counting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 12:09 PM, olafminesaw said: Brick couldn't quite reel in the brick storm to everyone's satisfaction, this one is all Barney, work your magic anthropomorphized dinosaur This might be the first time since i was a kid watching Pokémon that i strongly believe that there needed to be a seizure warning on something. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Still have Freezing Rain up this way in the county. Their are tons of calls for trees down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Is there a scientific explanation as to why it is is hard to drop 1 or 2 degrees here once it gets to 33 and it's raining? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Somebody please explain to me why we are referencing Barney with the potential upcoming storm. What am I missing? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 5:01 AM, GaWx said: The GFS rang? Expand More like... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 12:43 PM, WiseWeather said: This might be the first time since i was a kid watching Pokémon that i strongly believe that there needed to be a seizure warning on something. . Expand You know what, that was a bit much, removed it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 NAO forecast from this morning. You can see the dip for next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Does anyone have any examples of big snow storms in late February in a LA Nina year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 ICON looks like it’s going to be a big storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 2:25 PM, olafminesaw said: Does anyone have any examples of big snow storms in late February in a LA Nina year? Expand RDU La Niña 4”+ snows Feb 15-28: 2/16/1996: 5.6” 2/23-4/1989: 4.2” 2/17-8/1989: 4.9” 2/25/1894: 5.0” GSO had 5.7” just after Feb (3/1-2/2009). Also, other areas like ATL and Athens had a big snow 3/1/2009. Athens, GA: 2/23/1989: 4.6” 2/24-5/1894 (this also hit ATL) So, 2009 (Mar 1-2), 1996, 1989, and 1894 had major SE snowstorms Feb 15th-Mar 2nd in La Niña in SE US. RDU had 2 big snows later in Mar in La Niña: 3/10/1934: 8.0” and 3/25-26/1971: 5.3” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 3:46 PM, NorthHillsWx said: ICON looks like it’s going to be a big storm Expand Kinda fizzles but it’s a nice gulf low track with snow in the northern half of NC and ice south into South Carolina. Might be wrapping up some too as it gets into Atlantic. Definitely close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 3:48 PM, GaWx said: RDU La Niña 4”+ snows Feb 15-28: 2/16/1996: 5.6” 2/23-4/1989: 4.2” 2/17-8/1989: 4.9” 2/25/1894: 5.0” GSO had 5.7” just after Feb (3/1-2/2009). Also, other areas like ATL and Athens had a big snow 3/1/2009. Athens, GA: 2/23/1989: 4.6” 2/24-5/1894 So, 2009 (Mar 1-2), 1996, 1989, and 1894 had major snowstorms Feb 15th-Mar 2nd in La Niña in SE US. RDU had 2 big snows later in Mar in La Niña: 3/10/1934: 8.0” and 3/25-26/1971: 5.3” Expand Inconclusive indicies related to those periods, not really what I would expect. Could be obscured in the period by a short period of chance on the indicies, which is not reflected in February's average. I also wonder how rare it is to get +PNA, -NAO, -AO in a la Nina year. We probably don't have a very good analog pattern. 2009 AO -, PNA -, NAO neutral 1996 AO neutral , PNA -, NAO neutral 1989 AO +, PNA -, NAO positive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Not hung up on specifics, but I don't love seeing the GFS back away from a strong HP. Been a struggle all season to get good timing of all the pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 GFS looks like a redux of the past few days. another cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 DC gets clobbered. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GFS has the storm, too, but warmer. Some ice in northern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 SE Ridge flexes just enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 4:11 PM, olafminesaw said: Inconclusive indicies related to those periods, not really what I would expect. Could be obscured in the period by a short period of chance on the indicies, which is not reflected in February's average. I also wonder how rare it is to get +PNA, -NAO, -AO in a la Nina year. We probably don't have a very good analog pattern. 2009 AO -, PNA -, NAO neutral 1996 AO neutral , PNA -, NAO neutral 1989 AO +, PNA -, NAO positive Expand Going back to 1950, I couldn’t find a single La Niña Feb out of the 26 of them that had both a +PNA and a -AO! So, 2025 will end up quite unique in that regard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 4:26 PM, Brick Tamland said: Expand Barney cold follows this on 12Z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 And then another wintry threat follows Barney on 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Canadian is slower but has a stronger high and colder air (shocker) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 4:33 PM, GaWx said: And then another wintry threat follows Barney on 12Z GFS Expand TX/LA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 4:34 PM, wncsnow said: Canadian is slower but has a stronger high and colder air (shocker) Expand A thing of beauty that run is, crushes the Carolinas and N Georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Oh Canada!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Incoming on the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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