NorthHillsWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 8:14 PM, BornAgain13 said: Still sitting at 32.5° at my house right now. Waiting to see how far that temperature gets at or below freezing to see how much ice we get tonight. Right now it's just a cold rain with the temperature barely above freezing Expand That sounds horrible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 8:14 PM, BornAgain13 said: Still sitting at 32.5° at my house right now. Waiting to see how far that temperature gets at or below freezing to see how much ice we get tonight. Right now it's just a cold rain with the temperature barely above freezing Expand You will need a cold air feed as freezing rain is self limiting otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 8:18 PM, NorthHillsWx said: That sounds horrible Expand I mean it is not much worse than here to be honest right now lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 8:18 PM, NorthHillsWx said: That sounds horrible Expand Yeah but that 0.5° might be saving us from the crazy ice totals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Everything is pointing for us to dip to 31 or 30 tonight 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Probably having a little snow on the ground will help too to lower the temperature 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 1/29/2025 at 6:54 PM, HKY_WX said: 1 week later you can see the results. This is a normal lag time between higher heights building in over the Poles and a pattern change over the CONUS. So we may have a window from roughly Feb 21 - Mid March where we could squeak out another event. We shall see. Expand To piggy back off of this from Jan. This is the first mid-range look I've seen since Jan that is enticing. Doesn't get much better. Weak PV lob over SE Canada. Virtually obliterated PV due to the large -AO and Greenland block. If it pans out around Feb 21st, i'll count that as a correct call from 23 days out ;). 7 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Happy hour GFS is delivering the goods 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Down to 32 degrees here with precip about to move back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 10:37 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Happy hour GFS is delivering the goods Expand It should make some folks happy. Looks similar to the 12z EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Im shocked more people aren’t on here. We’re inside 10 days and have a great storm signal with substantial cold air 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 10:55 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Im shocked more people aren’t on here. We’re inside 10 days and have a great storm signal with substantial cold air Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 10:55 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Im shocked more people aren’t on here. We’re inside 10 days and have a great storm signal with substantial cold air Expand Probably still taking in today's misery rain. I do like the look on this run. Still too much of a mix fest but beggars can't be choosers. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Down to 31.8 now with ZR 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 One wild thing about that run is it keeps RDU below freezing from the 19th-22nd. I know a lot of that is projected snowpack but still, this is Barney cold for late February 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 32.9 here west of Franklinton with rain. Ugh 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/11/2025 at 11:37 PM, NorthHillsWx said: One wild thing about that run is it keeps RDU below freezing from the 19th-22nd. I know a lot of that is projected snowpack but still, this is Barney cold for late February Expand Given it takes -15 departures to get snow in late Feb, that’s what we want to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Tanking AO,positive PNA, and a MJO coming into phase 8. Even at day 7 right now all the models (EURO,GFS,UK,CAN) look very close to each other.I am mildly/moderately interested. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/11/2025 at 10:55 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Im shocked more people aren’t on here. We’re inside 10 days and have a great storm signal with substantial cold air Expand Yeah boy. That’s less than 40 model runs. Each. What could go wrong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 1:17 AM, jburns said: Yeah boy. That’s less than 40 model runs. Each. What could go wrong. Expand I mean just from a weather discussion standpoint. Absolutely not banking on a storm but we get 3 months a year to talk winter weather and actually have a favorable pattern with storms showing up and no one wants to talk lol. 8 days out on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 1:17 AM, jburns said: Yeah boy. That’s less than 40 model runs. Each. What could go wrong. Expand Oh , quit bein a curmudgeon , might be chase worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 1:40 AM, frazdaddy said: Oh , quit bein a curmudgeon , might be chase worthy. Expand If we start now we can walk. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 1:33 AM, NorthHillsWx said: I mean just from a weather discussion standpoint. Absolutely not banking on a storm but we get 3 months a year to talk winter weather and actually have a favorable pattern with storms showing up and no one wants to talk lol. 8 days out on GFS Expand I'm ready man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidge18 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 1:33 AM, NorthHillsWx said: I mean just from a weather discussion standpoint. Absolutely not banking on a storm but we get 3 months a year to talk winter weather and actually have a favorable pattern with storms showing up and no one wants to talk lol. 8 days out on GFSTotally agree with this, would’ve gave anything for this pattern last few winter. Last few years have been shutouts in February so just the potential is exciting . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The iPhone weather app has it next Thursday so it must be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 ICON looks good at the end of the run 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Incoming on GFS… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/12/2025 at 4:19 AM, NorthHillsWx said: Incoming on GFS… Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 That might be the biggest weenie run of the GFS all winter for a lot of folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 HOLY MOLY lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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