StantonParkHoya Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Cherry blossoms in DC going to be blooming late this year it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: Shocked no one posted this yet . Most of the forum is buying pre emergent and garden flowers at Lowe’s right now. I think people will trickle back on here in the next couple days 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Cherry blossoms in DC going to be blooming late this year it seems Different late February than what we’ve seen past few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Most of the forum is buying pre emergent and garden flowers at Lowe’s right now. I think people will trickle back on here in the next couple days How do you know where I am? Are you stalking me? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago GFS looks like it might be setting up for a colder storm solution on the 20th… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS looks like it might be setting up for a colder storm solution on the 20th… It hangs the energy up in SW. But a 1040+ banana high over the Great Lakes… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Ended up with 1" at my location. It was beautiful. Took the kids on a snow chase to Lynchburg. It was snowing up their but then came back south about 10 miles and it was sleet. Very sharp cut off 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, NorthHillsWx said: It hangs the energy up in SW. But a 1040+ banana high over the Great Lakes… Gets actual cold, holds back energy...story of this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, BornAgain13 said: Ended up with 1" at my location. It was beautiful. Took the kids on a snow chase to Lynchburg. It was snowing up their but then came back south about 10 miles and it was sleet. Very sharp cut off Yeah I was going to chase but wasn't up for having to go all the way to central VA for anything decent lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Gets actual cold, holds back energy...story of this winter Big ice storm incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Big ice storm incoming yep looks like crap for now and probably will shift north into the Mid-Atlantic over time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Storm signal is there on the CMC as well for the same time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 17 minutes ago, eyewall said: yep looks like crap for now and probably will shift north into the Mid-Atlantic over time. Problem all winter has been energy getting hung up too long. If it would just eject this would be a snowstorm. No reason to believe the winter trend will be fixed this time. Way to waste a 1044 mb banana high and active STJ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 30 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Big ice storm incoming 12Z GFS: total ZR through day 10: -much of this is not til day 9-10 and thus still pretty far out and therefore very highly subject to major changes obviously -some of this over especially NW NC, far N NC, and in VA is from earlier storms….see 2nd image: This 2nd image is only for earlier storms. But that still means the first image’s heavy amounts in much of Triad to Charlotte area to upstate SC to NE GA are all from the day 9-10 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 8 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z GFS: total ZR through day 10: -much of this is not til day 9-10 and thus still pretty far out and therefore very highly subject to major changes obviously -some of this over especially NW NC, far N NC, and in VA is from earlier storms….see 2nd image: This 2nd image is only for earlier storms. But that still means the first image’s heavy amounts in much of Triad to Charlotte area to upstate SC to NE GA are all from the day 9-10 storm. Sadly that is a classic wedge look for an ice storm. We better hope that we can get the energy to consolidate and eject earlier or this is a likely scenario given the cold coming and well positioned high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 13 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Storm signal is there on the CMC as well for the same time period. CMC says I’ll be skiing Virginia powder that weekend 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Very strong signal on the 12z GEFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Very strong signal on the 12z GEFS The op run was extremely close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 12Z Euro for day 9: kuchera 24 hour snow (fwiw since day 9) ZR for day 9 (excludes the ZR in NW NC/VA): 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago EURO WOULD FEED FAMILIES IN CENTRAL NC!!! Multiple storm threats behind the 20th and Barney cold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago We’re seeing very good agreement for a day 9 storm across models. This should be getting attention on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 15 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z Euro for day 9: kuchera 24 hour snow (fwiw since day 9) ZR for day 9 (excludes the ZR in NW NC/VA): I posted before I saw this but that is a coastal bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 17 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Looks like the Op, hopefully it’s not skewing it and that’s just indicative of a lot of alignment of individual members!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Today’s GEFS based AO forecast is even more impressive for 2/15-18 as it suggests a dip to ~-5 is quite possible then! That would be lowest daily AO since 2/10-11/2021! Other Feb sub -5 AOs since 1950 were only these: -2/10-11/2021 (-5.285 on 2/10) (weak +PNA, MJO strong 7) -2/14/2010 (-5.132) (moderate +PNA, MJO moderate 8) -2/6-7/2010 (-5.205 on 2/6) (strong +PNA, MJO moderate 7) -2/5-6/1978 (-5.291 on 2/5, lowest Feb AO on record) (strong +PNA, MJO strong 7) -2/13-16/1969 (-5.282 on 2/13)(neutral PNA, MJO unknown) At the same time the PNA could be nearing +1: At same time, MJO could be in moderate phase 8: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 minutes ago, GaWx said: Today’s GEFS based AO forecast is even more impressive for 2/15-18 as it suggests a dip to ~-5 is quite possible then! That would be lowest daily AO since 2/10-11/2021! Other Feb sub -5 AOs since 1950 were only these: -2/10-11/2021 (-5.285 on 2/10) (weak +PNA, MJO strong 7) -2/14/2010 (-5.132) (moderate +PNA, MJO moderate 8) -2/6-7/2010 (-5.205 on 2/6) (strong +PNA, MJO moderate 7) -2/5-6/1978 (-5.291 on 2/5, lowest Feb AO on record) (strong +PNA, MJO strong 7) -2/13-16/1969 (-5.282 on 2/13)(neutral PNA, MJO unknown) At the same time the PNA could be nearing +1: At same time, MJO could be in moderate phase 8: Stop it, I can only get so aroused 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 minutes ago, GaWx said: Today’s GEFS based AO forecast is even more impressive for 2/15-18 as it suggests a dip to ~-5 is quite possible then! That would be lowest daily AO since 2/10-11/2021! Other Feb sub -5 AOs since 1950 were only these: -2/10-11/2021 (-5.285 on 2/10) (weak +PNA, MJO strong 7) -2/14/2010 (-5.132) (moderate +PNA, MJO moderate 8) -2/6-7/2010 (-5.205 on 2/6) (strong +PNA, MJO moderate 7) -2/5-6/1978 (-5.291 on 2/5, lowest Feb AO on record) (strong +PNA, MJO strong 7) -2/13-16/1969 (-5.282 on 2/13)(neutral PNA, MJO unknown) At the same time the PNA could be nearing +1: At same time, MJO could be in moderate phase 8: With a slow progression through phase 8 and a negative AO expect a couple big Storms from the Mid South to the upper SE by Months end. Models should begin to show these more prominent within the next 5 Days or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago I'm still in wait and see mode. We are going on 11 years with no snowstorm more than 4 inches in the snowiest month of the year climatologically. We haven't had more than 2 inches of snow total in any February since 2014. The SE Ridge will still give issues to areas along and south of 40, timing will need to be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Still sitting at 32.5° at my house right now. Waiting to see how far that temperature gets at or below freezing to see how much ice we get tonight. Right now it's just a cold rain with the temperature barely above freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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