Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[WinstonSalemArlington]

January power and gas bills will cause shock

[gtg947h]

20 hours ago, Brick Tamland said:

I wouldn't mind some warmer weather if we're done with the snow.

I know we're done for a few years down here.  I'd say I'm looking forward to 70 on Wednesday but I'll be stuck in a windowless office all day

[lilj4425]

Did Brick Tamland see his shadow yet? 

[neverSnowsLCSC]

2 hours ago, gtg947h said:

I know we're done for a few years down here.  I'd say I'm looking forward to 70 on Wednesday but I'll be stuck in a windowless office all day

Yeah, we've had a 7-8 year return period on accumulating snow around CHS.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[suzook]

2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Not much to look at. Looks like a quick shot of slightly below normal.

[yotaman]

15 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

January power and gas bills will cause shock

Not looking forward to mine.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[BooneWX]

A rare chance to avoid all of the crappy MJO phases is upon us

[dsaur]

17 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

January power and gas bills will cause shock

My propane driver got mauled by a dog on a delivery two weeks ago, so I've been without heat for 10 days.  Not fun, in the coldest air of the year.  I'm like the pioneers, lol.

[dsaur]

On 1/24/2025 at 10:58 AM, StantonParkHoya said:

Punting to V Day likely means it’s almost over for those east of 85 outside of a very anomalous situation

Any kind of frozen is anomalous these days.  I'm counting on anomalous to get my winter thrills. Usually it's spring by now.

[wncsnow]

Lots of rain the next few weeks. 

[StantonParkHoya]

Ideal situation would be to maximize Feb and get another couple of threats then March 1 flip to the worst MJO phases with a ridge touching Hudson Bay.

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, dsaur said:

My propane driver got mauled by a dog on a delivery two weeks ago, so I've been without heat for 10 days.  Not fun, in the coldest air of the year.  I'm like the pioneers, lol.

Tony,

 Have you considered staying at a hotel or with someone you know nearby until your heat is fixed? That’s insane! Are you sleeping in a parka? Does this mean you also don’t have hot water?

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[BooneWX]

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Lots of rain the next few weeks. 

Another reason why I think this will be more of a thaw than a torch.

[GaWx]

OT but due to higher vis here: Should outside spigots be dripped or not?

[Occluded Front]

5 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

My cost of just natural gas usage alone will be near 400.00  

[dsaur]

2 hours ago, GaWx said:

Tony,

 Have you considered staying at a hotel or with someone you know nearby until your heat is fixed? That’s insane! Are you sleeping in a parka? Does this mean you also don’t have hot water?

It's a well built brick house with double pane windows, so it never got below 46 in the house, and the basement with the pipes either as it's under grade on three side. I burned wood in the fireplace, and slept under several thermal blankets, so I was fine.  Thanks for worrying.  My studio has a full tank so I could go down there to warm up, or even sleep if I'd gotten too cold. And I had an oil heater for the laundry room, and a small ceramic heater for my feet.  I was amazed at how warm the house stayed with it down to 12.5.  I've ordered some more ceramic heaters, and I learned I've been wasting gas heating the basement when it didn't need it. So I'll save money in the long run and use way less propane...after I pay off the electric bill.  It was a good warm up for an ice storm, as the space heaters will have to heat the house if the power goes, and I'll be way more conservative with the gas.  I have to learn to live in a colder house, but being on blood thinners I don't deal with the cold as well as I used too. Learned a lot from the experience for sure. Electric water heater. And of course all the gas companies were dealing with their  own customers demands in bitter cold, so you can't just call someone...they don't answer the phone.

[dsaur]

31 minutes ago, GaWx said:

OT but due to higher vis here: Should outside spigots be dripped or not?

I always wrapped mine really well, and if it was going really low, let them run a pencil lead stream. That was my studio where I used the stay, and it was up on blocks with little insulation. A better house might do with just  being wrapped in thick insulation. And I always blocked mine from the wind.

[GaWx]

6 minutes ago, dsaur said:

I always wrapped mine really well, and if it was going really low, let them run a pencil lead stream. That was my studio where I used the stay, and it was up on blocks with little insulation. A better house might do with just  being wrapped in thick insulation. And I always blocked mine from the wind.

This is what got me confused. It says leaving faucets to drip is only for indoor ones! After all of these decades of hearing that outside should be dripped, now I see this? What the? Mine have been very slow dripping for 5 days:

[purduewx80]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

OT but due to higher vis here: Should outside spigots be dripped or not?

The Freeze Miser work great on outdoor faucets. Makes more sense to use these (or allow drips) in the South because we don't have lengthy periods of super cold weather; otherwise, they probably would freeze up. You leave the faucet on, and this allows a very slow drip when temperatures drop below about 35. Mine have worked well with temps in the teens a few nights in a row - both froze up solid prior to grabbing these from Amazon.

[dsaur]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

This is what got me confused. It says leaving faucets to drip is only for indoor ones! After all of these decades of hearing that outside should be dripped, now I see this? What the? Mine have been very slow dripping for 5 days:

Always broke the stalagmite everyday to stop it damming. And I agree about the pencil width, and it's the hot water that freezes first, but the cost of heating water is way out weighed by the  physical cost of lying on your back in sub freezing temps working on pipes. In my case the out door faucet was near the kitchen and on the same line as the sink, so I needed to keep water running in the line. So much depends on how insulated you are, how hot the house is, wrapped pipes, heat tape, etc.

[suzook]

Speaking of thaw....we hit 56 today. 60's this week. Bring it!

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Suppression would not be a problem 

 

[ncjoaquin]

GSP in their long range discussion this AM.... Kind of an odd thing to say. 

"The pattern makes one wonder if we are done
with Winter."

[suzook]

1 hour ago, ncjoaquin said:

GSP in their long range discussion this AM.... Kind of an odd thing to say. 

"The pattern makes one wonder if we are done
with Winter."

I'm thinking they mean the winter we have all had so far. We will be back to a more normal winter. Lots of average temp days, with a few quick cold shots thrown in here and their. Pretty sure we are done with snow and ice events.

[ncjoaquin]

19 minutes ago, suzook said:

I'm thinking they mean the winter we have all had so far. We will be back to a more normal winter. Lots of average temp days, with a few quick cold shots thrown in here and their. Pretty sure we are done with snow and ice events.

Lol. I don't think we are done with snow and ice events. I have no idea what they are saying.