ncjoaquin Posted Sunday at 10:22 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:22 PM It will be gone at 0z, but I will throw it on here to break the silence. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 11:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:51 PM 18z GEFS really bumped up for next Sunday. Probably will be gone by 0z though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:58 AM 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z GEFS really bumped up for next Sunday. Probably will be gone by 0z though. Yeah, 18Z GEFS strongly for an ensemble mean followed the 18Z GFS fwiw (thus I don’t expect this to hold up on the 0Z): 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 01:08 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:08 AM 10 minutes ago, GaWx said: Yeah, 18Z GEFS strongly for an ensemble mean followed the 18Z GFS fwiw (thus I don’t expect this to hold up on the 0Z): The way the models have not been performing well, nothing would surprise me right now lol. But yeah more than likely, this won't last. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 04:41 AM Share Posted Monday at 04:41 AM 6 hours ago, ncjoaquin said: It will be gone at 0z, but I will throw it on here to break the silence. 5 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z GEFS really bumped up for next Sunday. Probably will be gone by 0z though. Not gone at 0Z. Still there and similar: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 05:18 AM Share Posted Monday at 05:18 AM 0Z GEFS 10:1 24 hour snow: lower amounts vs 18Z GEFS but still decent signal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 10:34 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:34 AM Still there at 6z too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted Monday at 12:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:23 PM GfS says good morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 12:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:26 PM 2 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: GfS says good morning. 6z is a big hit in southern Virginia. GFS Looks like modeling leading up to last storm lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 12:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:43 PM Could be a legit signal. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 01:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:03 PM 17 minutes ago, eyewall said: Could be a legit signal. The 9-10th period has been on models for a long time but it’s literally a 1.5 day cold shot so there’s no margin for error but yea probably enough of a signal to pay attention to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 01:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:08 PM 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The 9-10th period has been on models for a long time but it’s literally a 1.5 day cold shot so there’s no margin for error but yea probably enough of a signal to pay attention to. and that is how March rolls around here for sure. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Monday at 01:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:09 PM EURO and Euro AI feature suppression. Certainly not the Barney cold as needed, to give wiggle room, about as "thread the needle" as a system can be. The only reason it snows on the GFS is it is able to produce it's own cold and draw down the colder air aloft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 01:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:14 PM 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: EURO and Euro AI feature suppression. Certainly not the Barney cold as needed, to give wiggle room, about as "thread the needle" as a system can be. The only reason it snows on the GFS is it is able to produce it's own cold and draw down the colder air aloft. Honestly that’s how we get most March snow outside the mountains. If 850’s are workable with a dynamic system. Pretty rare to get a non-suppressed storm with an established Barney airmass this late in the year. The system showing up on all models is a fair signal at this timeframe but as stated it’s as thread the needle as you can get even for here. Mountains are definitely in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted Monday at 01:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:15 PM 5 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: EURO and Euro AI feature suppression. Certainly not the Barney cold as needed, to give wiggle room, about as "thread the needle" as a system can be. The only reason it snows on the GFS is it is able to produce it's own cold and draw down the colder air aloft. Yeah, and we know how that usually works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Monday at 03:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:13 PM The GFS Is showing gusts to 60 mph on Wednesday, while other models are much more reasonable. Should expect gusts in the mid 40s, but a big I difference between 40 and 50 mph gusts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 04:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:25 PM 12z GFS way different then the suppressed CMC and EURO and is an amped coastal for New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 05:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:46 PM 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: 12z GFS way different then the suppressed CMC and EURO and is an amped coastal for New England For NC, 12Z GEFS has reverted to mainly a mountain upslope event: Compare this to the 18Z GEFS, which had 1-2” in the Triangle/Triad. Now it is only 0.2”-0.3”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Euro is suppressed still 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:03 PM 12Z Euro fwiw has a little snow on Mar 9 outside of the mtns in NW SC/SC NC: This is at the far N end of the qpf: It has just a mini-Barney (Barney Rubble?) during a time of year that daddy-Barney may be needed as one of our posters previously sort of put it: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 06:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:22 PM The 12Z EPS mean has increased from about nothing to very light snow that is near the 12Z GEFS amounts in NC: But the EPS mean temp anom map doesn’t even have a Barney Rubble! Looks more like a Pebbles Flintstone. Good luck with that in March: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted Monday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:34 PM What a sight it would be to have snow with the cherry blossoms blooming. Let’s go! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Monday at 07:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:22 PM FWIW, Canadian ENS. showing some light accumulations too. Went from zero to a little hope! So now all models show some potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 07:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:33 PM EURO made a pretty big leap towards “something” for the Carolina’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:08 PM Meanwhile, we have a severe threat tomorrow and Wednesday in the SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:56 PM GFS really wants to crank a major NE snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 11:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:16 PM 20 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS really wants to crank a major NE snowstorm GEFS isn't quite as amped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 11:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:20 PM Just now, BornAgain13 said: GEFS isn't quite as amped. I’m becoming more intrigued. With GFS op north and other guidance south something in middle seems reasonable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clemsonlady Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM I put up all my winter gear over the weekend.. sleds, boots etc!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 hours ago, Clemsonlady said: I put up all my winter gear over the weekend.. sleds, boots etc! . Get it back out just in case says the 0Z Goofy! A full-fledged Barney is along for the ride this time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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