ncjoaquin Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 It will be gone at 0z, but I will throw it on here to break the silence. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 18z GEFS really bumped up for next Sunday. Probably will be gone by 0z though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z GEFS really bumped up for next Sunday. Probably will be gone by 0z though. Yeah, 18Z GEFS strongly for an ensemble mean followed the 18Z GFS fwiw (thus I don’t expect this to hold up on the 0Z): 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 10 minutes ago, GaWx said: Yeah, 18Z GEFS strongly for an ensemble mean followed the 18Z GFS fwiw (thus I don’t expect this to hold up on the 0Z): The way the models have not been performing well, nothing would surprise me right now lol. But yeah more than likely, this won't last. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 6 hours ago, ncjoaquin said: It will be gone at 0z, but I will throw it on here to break the silence. 5 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z GEFS really bumped up for next Sunday. Probably will be gone by 0z though. Not gone at 0Z. Still there and similar: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 0Z GEFS 10:1 24 hour snow: lower amounts vs 18Z GEFS but still decent signal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Still there at 6z too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 GfS says good morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 2 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: GfS says good morning. 6z is a big hit in southern Virginia. GFS Looks like modeling leading up to last storm lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Could be a legit signal. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 17 minutes ago, eyewall said: Could be a legit signal. The 9-10th period has been on models for a long time but it’s literally a 1.5 day cold shot so there’s no margin for error but yea probably enough of a signal to pay attention to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The 9-10th period has been on models for a long time but it’s literally a 1.5 day cold shot so there’s no margin for error but yea probably enough of a signal to pay attention to. and that is how March rolls around here for sure. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 EURO and Euro AI feature suppression. Certainly not the Barney cold as needed, to give wiggle room, about as "thread the needle" as a system can be. The only reason it snows on the GFS is it is able to produce it's own cold and draw down the colder air aloft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: EURO and Euro AI feature suppression. Certainly not the Barney cold as needed, to give wiggle room, about as "thread the needle" as a system can be. The only reason it snows on the GFS is it is able to produce it's own cold and draw down the colder air aloft. Honestly that’s how we get most March snow outside the mountains. If 850’s are workable with a dynamic system. Pretty rare to get a non-suppressed storm with an established Barney airmass this late in the year. The system showing up on all models is a fair signal at this timeframe but as stated it’s as thread the needle as you can get even for here. Mountains are definitely in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 5 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: EURO and Euro AI feature suppression. Certainly not the Barney cold as needed, to give wiggle room, about as "thread the needle" as a system can be. The only reason it snows on the GFS is it is able to produce it's own cold and draw down the colder air aloft. Yeah, and we know how that usually works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 The GFS Is showing gusts to 60 mph on Wednesday, while other models are much more reasonable. Should expect gusts in the mid 40s, but a big I difference between 40 and 50 mph gusts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 12z GFS way different then the suppressed CMC and EURO and is an amped coastal for New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: 12z GFS way different then the suppressed CMC and EURO and is an amped coastal for New England For NC, 12Z GEFS has reverted to mainly a mountain upslope event: Compare this to the 18Z GEFS, which had 1-2” in the Triangle/Triad. Now it is only 0.2”-0.3”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 3 Author Share Posted March 3 Euro is suppressed still 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 12Z Euro fwiw has a little snow on Mar 9 outside of the mtns in NW SC/SC NC: This is at the far N end of the qpf: It has just a mini-Barney (Barney Rubble?) during a time of year that daddy-Barney may be needed as one of our posters previously sort of put it: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 The 12Z EPS mean has increased from about nothing to very light snow that is near the 12Z GEFS amounts in NC: But the EPS mean temp anom map doesn’t even have a Barney Rubble! Looks more like a Pebbles Flintstone. Good luck with that in March: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 What a sight it would be to have snow with the cherry blossoms blooming. Let’s go! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 FWIW, Canadian ENS. showing some light accumulations too. Went from zero to a little hope! So now all models show some potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 EURO made a pretty big leap towards “something” for the Carolina’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Meanwhile, we have a severe threat tomorrow and Wednesday in the SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 GFS really wants to crank a major NE snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 20 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS really wants to crank a major NE snowstorm GEFS isn't quite as amped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Just now, BornAgain13 said: GEFS isn't quite as amped. I’m becoming more intrigued. With GFS op north and other guidance south something in middle seems reasonable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clemsonlady Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 I put up all my winter gear over the weekend.. sleds, boots etc!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 2 hours ago, Clemsonlady said: I put up all my winter gear over the weekend.. sleds, boots etc! . Get it back out just in case says the 0Z Goofy! A full-fledged Barney is along for the ride this time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now