Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[blueheels2]

21 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Who on earth would want a cold April 

Me I hate summer and spring.  Fall and winter forever!!!  But I have to work outside in it a lot and I get sick of the heat.

[GaWx]

- Euro Weeklies are mainly mild 3/10+.
- Next 2 weeks average near to slightly below normal on 12Z ensemble consensus (ups and downs). Nothing dramatic.

[Jmoon]

On 2/21/2025 at 6:21 PM, StantonParkHoya said:

Who on earth would want a cold April 

Try working out in the heat landscaping and doing firewood in the heat and humidity year round and see how much you like it. If you did you might feel a little different about it.

[gtg947h]

6 minutes ago, Jmoon said:

Try working out in the heat landscaping and doing firewood in the heat and humidity year round and see how much you like it. If you did you might feel a little different about it.

I'm outside before dawn every morning, and spend most of my weekend free time outdoors too.  I'm sick of cold in the mornings and tired of trying to work on stuff with cold numb hands.  And it seems like it's been an especially cold winter this year...

When I built my shop in 2015, I was outside almost all weekend for hours, even in the worst of the summer heat.  As long as I have sunscreen, water, and a shower at the end of the day I'm much happier when it's warm.

[cbmclean]

I like every season in its time.  I feel very fortunate to have had a real winter this year (by SE standards) and I'll enjoy spring.

[GaWx]

On 2/21/2025 at 6:21 PM, StantonParkHoya said:

Who on earth would want a cold April 

 

3 hours ago, Jmoon said:

Try working out in the heat landscaping and doing firewood in the heat and humidity year round and see how much you like it. If you did you might feel a little different about it.

 

3 hours ago, gtg947h said:

I'm outside before dawn every morning, and spend most of my weekend free time outdoors too.  I'm sick of cold in the mornings and tired of trying to work on stuff with cold numb hands.  And it seems like it's been an especially cold winter this year...

When I built my shop in 2015, I was outside almost all weekend for hours, even in the worst of the summer heat.  As long as I have sunscreen, water, and a shower at the end of the day I'm much happier when it's warm.

 This is a great example of different strokes for different folks. I prefer down here in S GA below normal temperatures every month of the year because warmth and humidity is so dominant for much of the year and is getting worse. Also, the cold down here is fairly tame compared to most other parts of the U.S. Moderate cold is very refreshing to me. Also, I tend to sweat very easily (more than most). I love walking but mainly do it inside on my treadmill when dewpoints are 55+. I’d rather be outside. My favorite temps for walking are 40s to 50s (with dewpoints 40s or lower).
 

 There is no right or wrong answer overall. It is all about preference.

 The following 50 second video is somewhat relevant though not completely because it is addressing morally right or wrong vs preference in regard to parenting:

 

[Daniel Boone]

6 hours ago, GaWx said:

- Euro Weeklies are mainly mild 3/10+.
- Next 2 weeks average near to slightly below normal on 12Z ensemble consensus (ups and downs). Nothing dramatic.

I think we need Blocking to have a last hoorah in the upper SE/MA and Tn Valley. As of now Models not showing that at all. A tall PNA Ridge could do it for the Tn Valley but, that's not too promising either. What's your thoughts ?

[GaWx]

4 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

I think we need Blocking to have a last hoorah in the upper SE/MA and Tn Valley. As of now Models not showing that at all. A tall PNA Ridge could do it for the Tn Valley but, that's not too promising either. What's your thoughts ?

What is the nearest major city to you?

[Daniel Boone]

Just now, GaWx said:

What is the nearest major city to you?

Knoxville. Although I'm north of there in SWVA.

[GaWx]

57 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

Knoxville. Although I'm north of there in SWVA.

Knoxville 2”+ snowstorms Mar-Apr since 1971:

4/6-7/1971 weak +PNA, +EPO, strong +NAO, weak -AO

3/25/1972 neutral PNA, neutral EPO, neutral NAO, neutral AO

3/10/1975 weak -PNA, -EPO, neutral NAO, neutral AO, moderate phase 3

3/1/1980 moderate +PNA, -EPO, weak +NAO, weak -AO, weak phase 3

4/18/1983 moderate +PNA, neutral EPO, moderate -NAO, neutral AO, moderate phase 2

4/3/1987 strong +PNA, neutral EPO, neutral NAO, strong -AO, moderate phase 3

3/13/1993 neutral PNA, -EPO, moderate +NAO, moderate +AO, strong phase 2

3/12/2022 neutral PNA, neutral EPO, moderate +NAO, weak +AO, moderate phase 2

 

 Did these 8 dates have any index tendencies?

-Not ENSO as it is all over the board.

-PNA neutral to +

-EPO neutral to -  

-NAO neutral to +

-AO all over the board

-MJO moderate phases 2 and 3 (cold phases in Mar, Apr)