BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GFS a late bloomer but brings the goods!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Feb 13 2014….. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, GaWx said: 18Z GfS Kuchera: Not done yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Not done yet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GFS is a big NC hit. Trends are our friend today folks!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Very positive trends on the last 2 GFS runs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, BornAgain13 said: Very positive trends on the last 2 GFS runs. I think every model has trended positively this afternoon!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 MA forum will meltdown over that GFS run. 20” in Va Beach, 0” in DC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GFS looks awesome. What a run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Barney says hey to E NC: holy snowcover but very likely way overdone: single digits at 1PM? No, Barney, you’re being silly! GFS has a strong cold bias over fresh snowcover. Nothing new. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GFS really slowed down. Has at least 18 hours of snow for central NC. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 21 minutes ago, GaWx said: Barney says hey to E NC: holy snowcover but very likely way overdone: single digits at 1PM? No, Barney, you’re being silly! GFS has a strong cold bias over fresh snowcover. Nothing new. Definitely not on the 21st of February 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said: I’ll cash out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 You say you need to ponder another model before believing…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18z GEFS is solid for most of NC and VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: This is hardly a full gone conclusion. The pattern is volatile currently. We are racing against climo outside of the mountains. March snow is a thing of the past. It hasn't snowed more a couple inches in most foothills areas in March since March 1, 2009. Winters with no snow in March for foothills areas include- 2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024. Add in the fact that Nina has strengthened and we are likely looking at an above average March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 55 minutes ago, GaWx said: That foothills screw zone looks familiar 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Let's light this candle! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18z GFS with a big snowstorm at the end of its run to lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 13 minutes ago, wncsnow said: We are racing against climo outside of the mountains. March snow is a thing of the past. It hasn't snowed more a couple inches in most foothills areas in March since March 1, 2009. Winters with no snow in March for foothills areas include- 2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024. Add in the fact that Nina has strengthened and we are likely looking at an above average March. Lol...reading this board it doesn't snow there in winter either 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Eyewall is in, and I see Matt lurking. This could have legs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Good juju for WNC here… we need it.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Eyewall is in, and I see Matt lurking. This could have legs. Still large changes from run to run at h5. This could still cut or get squashed and phase too late and still nail Boston! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 We beat Kentucky, Duke, and UNC in the same year. Don’t tell me it’s impossible to get snow outside the mountains. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, Upstate Tiger said: We beat Kentucky, Duke, and UNC in the same year. Don’t tell me it’s impossible to get snow outside the mountains. Lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 39 minutes ago, wncsnow said: We are racing against climo outside of the mountains. March snow is a thing of the past. It hasn't snowed more a couple inches in most foothills areas in March since March 1, 2009. Winters with no snow in March for foothills areas include- 2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024. Add in the fact that Nina has strengthened and we are likely looking at an above average March. Regardless of Mar, in the meantime some of the best climo of the winter is in the last half of Feb. We still have another 2 weeks before March. Granted, it isn’t normally as good when it is La Niña. El Niño has the best Feb climo as we know. However, the pattern is anything but Ninaish with the -5 AO about to hit along with a rising +PNA to a strong one (combo typically has lingering effects). Will there be a NW trend like is common and occurred for the 1/10-11 storm? Or will there not be one like was the case for the 1/21-2 storm? We’ll see! So far there’s no indication of an impending NW trend, which may be partially related to the rare very strong -AO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 37 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z GEFS is solid for most of NC and VA Yes, very nice trends, it really blossoms the precip out of the Gulf on this run and fills in the NW side of the precip shield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 46 minutes ago, wncsnow said: We are racing against climo outside of the mountains. March snow is a thing of the past. It hasn't snowed more a couple inches in most foothills areas in March since March 1, 2009. Winters with no snow in March for foothills areas include- 2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024. Add in the fact that Nina has strengthened and we are likely looking at an above average March. Guess we will see you next winter then. End of winter is only 2 weeks away despite what the weeklies show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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