NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 With all that being said, the ICON, GFS, and CMC were all colder than their previous runs and all had major winter storms for central NC. CMC and ICON are even more expansive winter storms, but are both trash models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 The ICON and Canadian are really not that far off from each other, the ICON just seems to phase earlier for a bigger storm. Also, looks like the ICON keys more on the trailing energy than the Canadian. Seeing the Canadian further south and east at this stage in the game is probably a good thing, we know how that will go as it gets closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 This is a really strong winter storm signal. That is all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Looks like GEFS is going to be juicer than 06z and maybe colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gtg947h Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 hour ago, GaWx said: 12Z Icon almost all snow for precip type in ATL area with 3-4” of snow from ~0.5” qpf. Would mean ATL area total snow to date of mainly 6-8” from 2-3 measurable snows and biggest snow winter since the similar 2010-1! Before that, one has to go back to 1992-3 for the great March SOTC on northside of ATL (including Sandy Springs/Dunwoody) for about that much snow in a season although less fell in the city south and more fell in Marietta/Cobb. Also, this would mean two major snows (3.5”+) this winter city northward. Last time that happened northside of ATL probably at least back to 1959-60 thanks to March! 1894-5 had two major snows all of ATL area thanks to the great frigid Feb of 1895. If it's still looking like that when we're up there next week it's going to be a tough go/stay decision. I'm already annoyed that I probably won't be able to do much flying (if any) up there (and I really need to get current), and I don't want to be dealing with snow again... but I don't think I'd have the heart to take my son away from snow and his cousins. I'm hoping the first week of April is nice and warm... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 7 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Looks like GEFS is going to be juicer than 06z and maybe colder. GEFS is a beautiful look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 The UKMET is a lot like the GFS, but slower. The result is more snowy, but I would anticipate some of what it is depicting as snow is sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 UK has the storm. Snow to ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 UK definitely better than last run and better than the GFS. If only that 2nd wave could speed up or the first wave slow down. Tidewater VA looks like a good spot this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/pwpf_d47/pwpf_medr.php?day=7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 UK was a beautiful snowy run. 12z GEFS much improved. ICON and CMC with the storm, let's see what the Euro goes with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: UK was a beautiful snowy run. 12z GEFS much improved. ICON and CMC with the storm, let's see what the Euro goes with. 12Z Euro is much better with much further SE track and major winter storm at least NC 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 12z EURO is a Major Snow Storm for N NC into VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I see the above snow and freezing rain maps, but are there sleet maps that would be in addition to what is shown above? TW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Very closely aligned with the 0z EPS it would seem. Hopefully the 12z EPS ticks south as well, in which case N of I85 will be sitting pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 54 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: This is a really strong winter storm signal. That is all. That's all we need to worry about at this far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Euro has snow to ice for NC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Euro still seems to be the weakest solution for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 A very cold run as well, hopefully that's sleet and not zr, with temps in the mid 20s along 85 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Every model shows a winter storm in some fashion for the upper SE. That’s remarkable agreement at this stage. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Looks like EPS should tick up even more or at least me close to last night, storm almost takes on a comma head look back in Western NC and E. TN. Looks like more phasing and good NW side to the overall pecip shield. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Unserious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 12z EPS 24 HR Snow Mean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 More of a backside to the precip on the EPS this run, maybe picking up on a stronger upper level low tracking through ETN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 12 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Looks like EPS should tick up even more or at least me close to last night, storm almost takes on a comma head look back in Western NC and E. TN. Looks like more phasing and good NW side to the overall pecip shield. The EPS is slightly less than last nights run for WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Yawn. Let the trend to 33 and rain hurry on up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: The EPS is slightly less than last nights run for WNC. Yeah I see that now, I didn't let the run finish when I first looked. Seemed like accumulations started a tad earlier this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornetsHomer91 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 23 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Every model shows a winter storm in some fashion for the upper SE. That’s remarkable agreement at this stage. Havent been in here since 2023... But yes, this is the post ... I think if we can stay the course 00Z suites Sat AM will rule the roost as far as the direction we begin to head good or bad. For now, lets just keep hitting it on the fairway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 ZR seems unlikely with a pure miller A and that track. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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