Buddy1987 Posted Sunday at 12:49 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:49 AM 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z Euro went right much further north. This is getting kinda funny as close as we are to this and the models aren't converging just yet Euro has been all over the place on this one. Would like to know what Euro AI is showing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Sunday at 12:53 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:53 AM They always trend west/north at the lead up.. see the last storm where ENC snowed. It showed nothing for I95 until 24 hours out and they ended up with 3+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 02:47 AM Share Posted Sunday at 02:47 AM 0z NAM is a Major ICE Storm for Northern NC and Southern VA. Still going at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 03:22 AM Share Posted Sunday at 03:22 AM 0z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Sunday at 12:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:09 PM @BornAgain13the 6z gfs would be a cataclysmic ice storm. Those totals are absolutely insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 12:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:17 PM 8 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: @BornAgain13the 6z gfs would be a cataclysmic ice storm. Those totals are absolutely insane. Yeah I hate we lost a lot of the snow to the north but your area may still get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM @BornAgain13single-handedly keeping this forum alive at this point. Everyone in NC has already checked out for the year. 2 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM Yeah I hate we lost a lot of the snow to the north but your area may still get it. How much ice? Waiting patiently here in Danville for the slow motion disasterSent from my Pixel 8a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Sunday at 01:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:09 PM 18 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: @BornAgain13single-handedly keeping this forum alive at this point. Everyone in NC has already checked out for the year. with good reason. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Sunday at 01:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:42 PM 52 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: @BornAgain13single-handedly keeping this forum alive at this point. Everyone in NC has already checked out for the year. Spring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted Sunday at 01:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:58 PM 42 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: Everyone in NC has already checked out for the year. Not everyone. Outside of the mountains, I think the northwest piedmont and foothills will see at least two chances at seeing accumulating frozen precipitation between now and the end of the month, and the extended products look encouraging going into mid-March. I'm almost as excited today as I was heading into early January at the prospect of seeing a significant winter storm at some point over the next two weeks. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM 14 hours ago, GaWx said: Regardless of whether or not the SE gets any more significant wintry threats late this month, this progged cooldown would be important for other reasons not the least bit being Mother Nature being totally screwed up by what’s looking like the warmest 1st half of Feb in many decades in much of GA/SC/N FL. So I’m rooting hard for some cold nights and cool days. Much of NC may be saved from that by some cold wedged rainy/mixed? days Mon-Wed. My dormant Bermuda grass on the sunny side of my house is not so dormant. Soil temps there 64 degrees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:43 PM 44 minutes ago, Tullioz said: Not everyone. Outside of the mountains, I think the northwest piedmont and foothills will see at least two chances at seeing accumulating frozen precipitation between now and the end of the month, and the extended products look encouraging going into mid-March. I'm almost as excited today as I was heading into early January at the prospect of seeing a significant winter storm at some point over the next two weeks. Agreed. P8 is going to give us a shot for the north of I-85 crowd. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:04 PM Big time ice showing on the models up this way Tuesday and Wednesday. Some south shift has happened today to. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Sunday at 07:33 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:33 PM Mid-March he said! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Sunday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:34 PM After a Feb 1-15 dominated at H5 by a strong SE ridge (common in Feb La Niña), the 12Z and other recent GEFS/EPS have more of a mix with a lean toward more days BN than AN at H5 in the SE for the remainder of the month. So, look for more freezes, probably including some hard well inland, in most of the SE on some days within 2/16-28. No we’re not headed back to the persistent strong cold of the amazing Jan. But we’re likely headed back to much more normal for winter. It’s been like mid spring in much of the SE so far this month! Furthermore, much of NC is headed toward a preview of that this week thanks to cold wedging. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 07:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:52 PM Winter Storm Watch has been issued up this way. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Sunday at 09:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:08 PM The new Euro Weeklies for 2/24-3/2 are cooler with a stronger signal for a +PNA. There’s also a hint for a Gulf Miller A. No, this isn’t Jan all over again but it is a hint there may be a tamer version and at the very least the idea that winter isn’t over: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Sunday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:34 PM 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: Winter Storm Watch has been issued up this way. I hope that you get a picture worthy event... With more snow than ice!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted Sunday at 10:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:03 PM 2 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: Winter Storm Watch has been issued up this way. Please provide pictures. We're desperate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 10:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:27 PM 23 minutes ago, CentralNC said: Please provide pictures. We're desperate. If I go on a snow chase just to my north, that may be the better pictures I get. Mby might be better pictures of ice lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Sunday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:28 PM Just a little end of run HRRR magic at happy hour anyone? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted Sunday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:31 PM 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Just a little end of run HRRR magic at happy hour anyone? Holy ice pick, Batman! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:56 PM 27 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Just a little end of run HRRR magic at happy hour anyone? Reminds me a lot of the storm a month or two ago that dumped 4” on Mount Airy and almost no one else in NC. Seems to be the sweet spot outside of the mountains this year. They may be taking Roxboro’s title. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Sunday at 11:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:01 PM As much as i love to see what the HRRR is showing, its only going to shift north IMO unfortunately to line up with other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Just an absolute nasty ice storm showing up on guidance for up this way and other CAD favored areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Surprised that almost every model has the triad area getting a decent amount of freezing rain. I won’t even mention what the Canadian shows. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 2 hours ago, tarheelwx said: Surprised that almost every model has the triad area getting a decent amount of freezing rain. I won’t even mention what the Canadian shows. TW It will be interesting to see how the short range models trend over the next 18-24 hrs. This ice could keep showing further and further south right up until the storm starts. Here's the latest WRF-ARW2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Usually I like the NAM and RGEM, which indivicates borderline temps for ZR. Really rare to get the temp to drop once precip moves in. 6z models generally took a step warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago HRRR shows a burst of sleet/freezing rain for RDU Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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