olafminesaw Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Yea starting to think this is either plain rain or snow. Just not really a good high to funnel cold into CAD areas and even if it is freezing rain it’s looking like 31-32 degrees which obviously doesn’t accumulate efficiently Worth watching for some sleet N of 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro AI on the 22nd and 23rd would make us all happy, too bad it's two weeks away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Euro AI on the 22nd and 23rd would make us all happy, too bad it's two weeks away. Euro and GFS also have it FWIW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Cold cold rain set to the beat of red red wine 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Euro and GFS also have it FWIW Nice didn't even glance at other models that far out. I will say we have had some active weather here historically during that timeframe over the years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z GFS went back south. Light to moderate snow in southern VA with a Big ICE event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z GFS ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z GFS literally has an 6"+ snow line to my north by maybe 30-40 miles. If that's true, i definitely may Snow Chase lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Colder model runs are on the way, for the start of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z guidance appears to be coming in colder across the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z EURO with a fairly significant shift south from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 As of right now it looks like northern tier counties in NC along the border will have a chance of a wintry mix before changing to rain. Southern Virginia will have a small area of mix with a sharp cutoff of snowfall. Somewhere just north of the mix line will get a big snow. Kind of a west-east look, not just CAD areas. Could be a significant snowstorm in middle Virginia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z EPS with a jog to the south as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 45 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 12z EPS with a jog to the south as well. I’d honestly rather have a slight shift south in the event there’s a correction north some up until game time. Getting ready to get pretty darn excited. Been quite awhile for a pretty significant snow here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 DT woofing over on FB about the last 10 days of Feb. I think we will all yawn at the same time... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 13 minutes ago, CentralNC said: DT woofing over on FB about the last 10 days of Feb. I think we will all yawn at the same time... Well go ahead and write that period off lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 @Buddy198718z GFS is a monster snow storm for your area. The heaviest did shift south slightly from 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 18z GFS is a Major Snow for Roanoke to Lynchburg, with moderate snow south of that and still significant icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Seems the trend on the models this winter is small shifts south as the storm gets closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 7 hours ago, WXNewton said: Euro AI on the 22nd and 23rd would make us all happy, too bad it's two weeks away. Euro AI seems to love to have big storms in the long range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 KSAV is well on its way to warmest 1st half of Feb since at least 1957 with 10+ AN projected! That’s norm for end of Mar/early Apr! Euro Weeklies have been all over this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Good news is that a refreshing colder change for SE as a whole has been progged last few runs for 2/17-23: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I don’t think we’re done. Indices and the fact we’ve actually been able to keep cold on this side of the globe point to a cold second half of February. And more moisture, which we lacked in January 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 18z Euro went right much further north. This is getting kinda funny as close as we are to this and the models aren't converging just yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Pack it up. Spring has sprung. Sure a few cold nights in 10 to 14 days, but it's over for most of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 30 minutes ago, suzook said: Pack it up. Spring has sprung. Sure a few cold nights in 10 to 14 days, but it's over for most of us Regardless of whether or not the SE gets any more significant wintry threats late this month, this progged cooldown would be important for other reasons not the least bit being Mother Nature being totally screwed up by what’s looking like the warmest 1st half of Feb in many decades in much of GA/SC/N FL. So I’m rooting hard for some cold nights and cool days. Much of NC may be saved from that by some cold wedged rainy/mixed? days Mon-Wed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, GaWx said: Regardless of whether or not the SE gets any more significant wintry threats late this month, this progged cooldown would be important for other reasons not the least bit being Mother Nature being totally screwed up by what’s looking like the warmest 1st half of Feb in many decades in much of GA/SC/N FL. So I’m rooting hard for sone cold nights and cool days. Much of NC is may be saved from that by some cold wedged rainy/mixed? days Mon-Wed. Yep the next 2 weeks will feel wintry. Remains to be seen if there will be any snow or ice in the SE but we’re in for a cool period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 35 minutes ago, suzook said: Pack it up. Spring has sprung. Sure a few cold nights in 10 to 14 days, but it's over for most of us Guarantee I have plenty of winter left at 3800 feet on the Tennessee border. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 16 minutes ago, chris21 said: Guarantee I have plenty of winter left at 3800 feet on the Tennessee border. Yikes. That high up? Probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 57 minutes ago, suzook said: Pack it up. Spring has sprung. Sure a few cold nights in 10 to 14 days, but it's over for most of us I’ll take the bait. I think winter is over for your area, but late Feb phase 8 MJO with a neutral to weak Nina can work from the upstate north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now