NorthHillsWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 To be in DC with these runs today… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 12z EURO shifted south from 0z to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:17 PM, NorthHillsWx said: To be in DC with these runs today… Expand Pass. They will get 4 to 6 inches then rain and a huge mess. Give me upstate NY with 2 feet of snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 18z GFS with a Major ICE Storm with some Snow for the bordering counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Major Snow Storm for Roanoke/Lynchburg/Rocky Mount per GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 10:53 PM, BornAgain13 said: 18z GFS with a Major ICE Storm with some Snow for the bordering counties. Expand I have a feeling that once that storm gets into the short range, the NAM and RGEM might expand that I've even further south. I've said it before, the wedge always seems to even pool a little deeper once it sinks down into the Catawba Valley area. It will definitely be worth watching. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 18z Euro continues to tick south closer to where the GFS is. Is this a cave to the gfs? We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 @Buddy1987you are in a solid spot right now for heavy snow. Looks like Snow to ICE to rain here as it stands right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 18z EPS ticks south to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/7/2025 at 10:53 PM, BornAgain13 said: Major Snow Storm for Roanoke/Lynchburg/Rocky Mount per GFS Expand Rocky Mount? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
landof2rivers Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Rocky Mount, VA 220 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:01 AM, StantonParkHoya said: Rocky Mount? Expand Rocky Mount VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Fwiw, the 18zAI is much colder compared to 12z for the northern piedmont of NC and on up into VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 2:14 AM, BornAgain13 said: Fwiw, the 18zAI is much colder compared to 12z for the northern piedmont of NC and on up into VA Expand Yeah, not surprised at the CAD showing signs of being stronger as we approach verification. Far cry from the warm rain we were anticipating a few days ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/7/2025 at 11:40 PM, BornAgain13 said: @Buddy1987you are in a solid spot right now for heavy snow. Looks like Snow to ICE to rain here as it stands right now. Expand I want to believe it so bad but been burned so many times recently I’m cautiously optimistic. Definitely tracking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z ICON is a Major Winter Storm for southern and central VA with a slight colder run with moderate snow and a ton of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z RGEM was coming in with snow in SW VA Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z GFS just keeps ticking colder and has a long duration event Tuesday into Wednesday of wintry weather in Northern NC into VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z CMC with a significant shift south from 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Significant icing in CAD areas on Wednesday per cmc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidge18 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Significant trend south on GEFS mean as well. DC about to be left out after it looked like they were gonna get hammered . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6Z GFS went way north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:22 AM, NorthHillsWx said: 6Z GFS went way north Expand It won't north, but the precip shield must of been expanded more north. Still a solid snow and ice storm for central and southern VA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6z ICON did shift it's snow line north... it may be a day of correcting north. We will see. 6z Euro is almost identical to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Not really concerned about ice. Dew points a few hours before onset are nowhere near what you typically see, even in VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:07 AM, BornAgain13 said: It won't north, but the precip shield must of been expanded more north. Still a solid snow and ice storm for central and southern VA Expand DC went from 1” to 7” and the freezing line furthest extent moved from the first tier of northern NC counties back into Virginia. And precip as a whole, not frozen, corrected way north. Pretty significant north swing in my book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Yea this is a non-issue south of VA. I think we get one last crack in the climo favored regions once we get into phase 8 of the MJO and then it’s curtain call time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Very tight gradient up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z NAM is much further south from 6z. The flip flop continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:55 PM, olafminesaw said: Not really concerned about ice. Dew points a few hours before onset are nowhere near what you typically see, even in VA. Expand Yea starting to think this is either plain rain or snow. Just not really a good high to funnel cold into CAD areas and even if it is freezing rain it’s looking like 31-32 degrees which obviously doesn’t accumulate efficiently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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