Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[BornAgain13]

12z ICON with a Major Winter Storm for the upper SE and Mid Atlantic

[GaWx]

17 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

That's still a significant storm although further north.

Yes but:

18Z 2/3 AI: 15-18” historic snow NE GA/NW SC/much of SW NC/Charlotte/NC Triad/NC Triangle

 

6Z 2/4 AI none in almost all of NE GA/NW SC, 3” Charlotte, 4-10” Triad/Triangle

[wncsnow]

Foothills and mountains and north are still very much in the game. South of 85 probably not. 

[BooneWX]

GFS is a decent CAD region hit. Notably, it trended SE from its 6z run.

[GaWx]

12Z ICON 850s similar to much further N 6Z Euro AI 850s:

 

6Z Euro AI 850s:

 

Thus, 12Z Icon WB 10:1 snow is much closer to 6Z Euro AI than the insane 18Z Euro AI though not as heavy; still sig. snow much of NW NC/SW VA and not finished as of 180 hours

 

6Z Euro AI SV 10:1 snow

[Brick Tamland]

GFS has it ending as some snow for north part of NC and the mountains.

[tarheelwx]

But wait…….. there’s more. 
TW

[Brick Tamland]

GFS gives me more than I had with the last storm, though.

[Brick Tamland]

GFS has another storm further south 2/13 to 2/14. 

[wncsnow]

Going to be a sharp cutoff between the haves and have nots. We need the front to push further south. 

[olafminesaw]

Canadian also has two back to back storms, the first ice, the second snow

[Brick Tamland]

[wncsnow]

Fun times ahead I think. We are overdue for a February snow. 

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, olafminesaw said:

Canadian also has two back to back storms, the first ice, the second snow

And that's the opposite of the GFS. It has the first one farther north with a little snow here and the second one is ice.

[BornAgain13]

Most on this board are very much in the game for next week. Going to be fun to watch!

[Brick Tamland]

Freezing rain on the GFS with the second storm.

[BornAgain13]

Like @wncsnowsaid, if we can just get that front to drop a touch more south... it's close...

[GaWx]

12Z GFS Kuchera snow, sleet, ZR

Kuchera snow:

Sleet:

ZR:

 

[Brick Tamland]

So we definitely have a storm signal for 2/11-2/14.

ICON had ice at the end of the last run on 2/12 for most of NC outside the coast, and some snow at the VA border.

GSF has snow for 2/11-2/12 for northern parts of NC and 85 west. Then a big ice storm 2/13-2/14.

Canadian has ice for northern NC 2/11-2/12 and then snow 2/13-2/14 for a lot of NC and some ice in the eastern part of the state.

I'm personally pulling for the Canadian.

[BornAgain13]

7" of Snow/ 1.5" of Sleet/0.75" of ZR up in these parts... lol

[BornAgain13]

More snow and ICE further north on the 16th per GFS. Man what an active period 

[BooneWX]

Really interested to see if our EPS uptick continues 

[BornAgain13]

2 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Really interested to see if our EPS uptick continues 

12z EURO and EPS will be interesting! 

[BooneWX]

The GFS wasn’t done 

[BornAgain13]

The 12z UK was the only one at 12z so far that was much further north but it's at the end of its run. Looks totally different from the 0z EURO. 

[WXNewton]

12 GFS ENS. look to be headed in the right direction, snowfall starting to align more with your I85 line and def. further south than 06z and 00Z.

[BornAgain13]

12z EURO is stuck. Maybe it's about to break the internet? Lol

[BooneWX]

Admittedly worried that this is more of an ice look (for now) than snow south of VA. You’ve got plenty of cold air to tap from the north and I know we don’t live at the 500mb level but man that ridge is going to do its thing unless you’ve got a really robust high in the correct position. Trending better the past few days on blocking should help but there will be a fine line between big ice and big snow. Unfortunately, cad areas are just as due - if not more, for the former than the latter. 

[NorthHillsWx]

One should root for overrunning. Anything amped is gonna want to cut. Still don’t see the cold push working out south of Virginia for snow. There is time but cold bleeding east of mountains like this is tough to work for this forum

[Upstate Tiger]

Really liked the 12z GFS.  Interested in the Euros interpretation.