Brick Tamland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 6 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Would be great but hard to believe. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 8 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: IS any of that on the southern edge actually ice? Or, is there additional ice to the south side of what's shown on the 216 snowfall map above? TW Wouldn't surprise me. This would be overrunning I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 None of this is real until Brick says it’s real. Have you lot learned nothing??? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 18z AI with a massive winter storm for a lot on this board. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: None of this is real until Brick says it’s real. Have you lot learned nothing??? I haven't paid much attention to be honest. Been crazy busy lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: I haven't paid much attention to be honest. Been crazy busy lately. You ready to reel it in? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 44 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: You ready to reel it in? Lol I like that the Euro has a storm signal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 The 0z ICON was about to deliver at the end of its run with cold air in place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 0z GFS with more of a colder push. Has snow/sleet breaking out Monday morning in Northern nc and southern VA ... going into the afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 CAD holds pretty strong this run... with Snow into central VA and a wintry mix down into NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Incoming on the GFS... next Thursday... Good Winter Storm for GA and SC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 0z CMC is a ICE Storm for CAD regions then rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Incoming on the GFS... next Thursday... Good Winter Storm for GA and SC And then another storm behind that one. Strong CAD and more ICE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: And then another storm behind that one. Strong CAD and more ICE Indeed, the 0Z GFS is a big mess! I’m surprised it is quiet in here. Meanwhile, the 0Z Euro and CMC both have a big ZR in the NW 1/2 of NC 2/11-12. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Looks like 00z euro ensembles are going to slightly increase snowfall totals over most of the area when compared to 12z. Can't load map right now but definitely looks like a small increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Virginia-north yea I see reason to be a little excited. Otherwise this looks like CAD slop pattern with cold rain elsewhere. Mid Atlantic to New England might get repeated big dogs. Might be a special February in those areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 2 hours ago, GaWx said: Indeed, the 0Z GFS is a big mess! I’m surprised it is quiet in here. Meanwhile, the 0Z Euro and CMC both have a big ZR in the NW 1/2 of NC 2/11-12. Because no one likes or wants ZR and we all know where this is heading east of 85 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 LA Nina starting to flex it's muscles it seems. Makes it much harder to keep storms from cutting. Trends have been positive overnight though, so still watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 06z GFS has shifted things north. Should be an interesting week watching this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 5 hours ago, gamecockinupstateSC said: Maybe this is the winter of the SE trend instead of the NW trend. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Interesting article from WRAL that jives with what looks like a possible storm next week. https://www.wral.com/story/ask-the-meteorologist-is-north-carolina-done-with-winter-weather-already/21842189/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4 Author Share Posted February 4 Euro AI still shows a significant winter storm. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 29 minutes ago, suzook said: 06z GFS has shifted things north. Should be an interesting week watching this. Ensembles actually had accumulating snow a little further south than 00z though. Have to look more at ensembles at this range than single model runs. 00z Canadian Ensembles also has accumulating snow for much of the state. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 12 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Euro AI still shows a significant winter storm. It’s doing that thing again - the thing where it doesn’t move an inch for endless amounts of runs. More indicative of the performance we saw with the early Jan storm. It didn’t nail amounts but it did nail evolution and track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Also, optimism should be higher. So many think Feb snow is impossible and I just watched oil rigs in the Gulf get buried not even 2 weeks ago. It’s been a weird winter. Anything is on the table, including 80s this week and snow next. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 How's the AI Snow Map look today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 49 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: How's the AI Snow Map look today? S end of big snow area has moved quite a bit N since the 2/3 18Z run due to much further N 0C 850 mb line as it gets more in line with other models after being colder than them at that level. AI 18Z 2/3 run 850s: During heart of the qpf the 0C line as of 0Z on 2/12 then much further S than other models: Gainesville to Anderson to S of Fayetteville to New Bern; GSP/Charlotte/RDU -2, Ash. -4, 0Z 2/4 run went sig. further N: GSP/Charlotte +1, Ash -2, RDU -2 6Z 2/4 run even further N: GSP/Charlotte +2, Ash. -1, RDU 0 Result: S portion of heavy snow area on AI moved much further N 18Z: 0Z: 6Z: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 minute ago, GaWx said: S end of big snow area has moved quite a bit N since the 2/3 18Z run due to much further N 0C 850 mb line as it gets more in line with other models after being colder than them at that level. AI 18Z 2/3 run 850s: During heart of the qpf the 0C line as of 0Z on 2/12 then much further S than other models: Gainesville to Anderson to S if Fayetteville to New Bern; GSP/Charlotte/RDU -2, Ash. -4, 0Z 2/4 run went sig. further N: GSP/Charlotte +1, Ash -2, RDU -2 6Z 2/4 run even further N: GSP/Charlotte +2, Ash. -1, RDU 0 Result: S portion of heavy snow area on AI moved much further N 18Z: That's still a significant storm although further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Looks like this one is drifting away from us right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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