GaWx Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 12Z EPS 10:1 24 hour snow: nice hit NW NC and big hit much of VA 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 9 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z EPS 10:1 snow: nice hit NW NC and big hit much of VA So even though the OP flipped a little, the EPS is very similar for the northern part of this board... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 11 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z EPS 10:1 snow: nice hit NW NC and big hit much of VA It also keeps increasing after this.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Just now, BornAgain13 said: That's to the morning of the 15th. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 26 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Just doesn't look like the cold push will be strong enough. I hate 30s and rain. Give me the SE death ridge. Same here. Looks like it is trending warmer today, though, and more likely rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Definitely trending warmer, along with being further out. Odds are slipping away. The extreme cold looks like a fantasy at this point, and whatever cold we do get, is barely cold, and out quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Very active pattern coming up. Just need the timing to be right with the cold air that won't be to far to the north. Some folks on this board could get some good stuff the next 2 weeks. Time will tell but folks shouldn't throw the towel in this early. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 If you’re east of 85, can’t see this working Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 The 12z AI was an absolute bomb... now obviously this is way out but just taking this 1 model verbatim, that's 18"+ in the pink lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The 12z AI was an absolute bomb... now obviously this is way out but just taking this 1 model verbatim, that's 18"+ in the pink lol How many inches does the Dark Blue rep? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 1 minute ago, WXNewton said: How many inches does the Dark Blue rep? 15"+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Definitely could see VA and Western NC cashing in on some sort of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 At least it looks like we’ll get plenty of rain to put a dent in the worsening drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 18z GFS with Heavy Snow in Southern VA, some ICE and then Rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 GFS hangs the high pressure up in southern central Canada for days and days and really never pushes south or east, seems odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Haven’t had a chance to digest the 18z data but my biggest takeaway from the 12z was the EPS steadily increasing amounts again for the CAD regions. Of anything at D9/10, that’s the one thing I’d prefer to have in my corner. Anything else is noise at this range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 18z GFS with more ICE for around the 16th... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 If you don’t love cold miserable rain, look away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: If you don’t love cold miserable rain, look away The big stuff is just to the north. It wouldn't take much to come further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 12 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The big stuff is just to the north. It wouldn't take much to come further south. It doesn’t work that way 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 18 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: It doesn’t work that way lol it did last storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 51 minutes ago, BooneWX said: lol it did last storm It works the way it wants too, not based on what humans think, lol. I've had an 8 inch spring storm, and another 4 inch one, so it just has to be cold enough in the column while rain is falling. Not much to it.... just a convergence of factors plus exquisite timing. I had a blizzard in mid March and it was really warm before and really warm after, but in between, bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Valentines Pink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 55 minutes ago, dsaur said: It works the way it wants too, not based on what humans think, lol. I've had an 8 inch spring storm, and another 4 inch one, so it just has to be cold enough in the column while rain is falling. Not much to it.... just a convergence of factors plus exquisite timing. I had a blizzard in mid March and it was really warm before and really warm after, but in between, bingo Presidents’ Day storm 1979 says hello! Warm leading up to storm. Warm by the end of the week after the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 18z AI looked to have held steady, if not just a bit south. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 3 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: The 12z AI was an absolute bomb... now obviously this is way out but just taking this 1 model verbatim, that's 18"+ in the pink lol I think Big AL just unloaded again tonight at 18z,further south this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 IS any of that on the southern edge actually ice? Or, is there additional ice to the south side of what's shown on the 216 snowfall map above? TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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