LVblizzard Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: UK looks like the icon Take it from someone who lives in the northeast, the UKMET often overdoes the influence of cold and dry high pressure for our storms. I imagine it’s doing something similar in the south for next week. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: It’s all noise until king NAM comes into range still it needs to align with a major partner to be believed more readily 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Lol the UK went poof! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATDoel Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12 minutes ago, BooneWX said: It’s all noise until king NAM comes into range King NAM missed the last event for us big time, even within 24 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I do like this look Also, how do I paste GIFs? I got an error saying the file size was tyoo big 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Found this FB post by WGHP's Van Denton to be right on! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, metalicwx367 said: It's unreal seeing that for this location in NWS forecast. At this rate if this keeps trending NW, we will end up 33F and rain lol. GFS actually changes us over to rain during the heaviest precipitation period. The 12Z CMC is amazing with an unheard of massive sleetstorm for much of our corridor with 2.5” at AYS and 4.3” at SVN! Qpf 1.2” AYS, 1.67” SVN with all but the very early light qpf with 2m temps of 27-25F: ZR: AYS 0.30”, SVN 0.05” Snow: 0.3” AYS/SVN; Gainesville 0.31” @Awesomesauce81 @gtg947h @pcbjr 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Increase here inland and in the GOM. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 41 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Take it from someone who lives in the northeast, the UKMET often overdoes the influence of cold and dry high pressure for our storms. I imagine it’s doing something similar in the south for next week. It just happened last Sunday/Monday for the DMV. Moreover, a couple of dates ago it looked like DC would only get a dusting this upcoming Sunday. Now, a significant snow is expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 When is the last time the UK or CMC beat out GFS/Euro // was more accurate 5-6 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12Z Euro snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12Z Euro: ZR 0.67” @pcbjr, 1.34” JAX IP 1.0” AYS, 1.3” SVN Snow: 2.8” AYS, 3.2” SVN, 0.1” JAX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, GaWx said: 12Z Euro ZR IP I'll take the 3 inches of snow and inch of sleet. Better than the ZR. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Disaster! Yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, WarmNoseHater said: i would like to know what Brick does for work that allows him to spend his entire week here tracking this. @Brick Tamland is actually Brad Panovich’s alter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, metalicwx367 said: I'll take the 3 inches of snow and inch of sleet. Better than the ZR. 3.8” combined SN/IP would be biggest on record at AYS 12Z UKMET has essentially no wintry precip except tiny bit of sleet AYS Tue night 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z Euro: ZR 0.67” @pcbjr, 1.34” JAX IP 1.0” AYS, 1.3” SVN Snow: 2.8” AYS, 3.2” SVN, 0.1” JAX This even gives wintry weather to Panama City, that would be...different 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Hoping all the deep south posters score! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Day 3 runs are when the models start to latch on. Models almost always lose a storm day 4 or 5. My area is probably out on this one no matter and has been since first being shown, so hang tight tomorrow evening storm should be back for area South and East of N Foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Euro needs to get on board now that the GFS is. Crazy how different the models are and the trading spaces like the GFS did with the UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 EURO worlds better than 0z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: EURO worlds better than 0z But worse than 06Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wormy2005 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 This is definitely looking interesting!! Gotta start covering up my chickens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 38 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z Euro snow Vs 6z. Differences mostly noise I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, olafminesaw said: Vs 6z. Differences mostly noise I think Noise. Huge improvement overall since last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12Z EPS snow: once in generation snow in much of coastal far S SC/SE GA/N FL if this were to verify well: hasn’t occurred since at the very least 1989 for most of those areas, which was years before the WWWeb even got going and many here not even born yet! I’m trying to keep my excitement in check because it could easily verify way differently since it’s still 4.5 days from this initialization, the 12Z models have huge disagreements, and this would be an exceedingly rare event! @metalicwx367 @Awesomesauce81 @gtg947h 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Euro and its ensembles continue to improve... and with the super cold temps, that stuff will stick instantly and stick around a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 9 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z EPS snow: once in generation snow in much of coastal far S SC/SE GA/N FL if this were to verify well: hasn’t occurred since at the very least 1989 for most of those areas, which was years before the WWWeb even got going! I’m trying to keep my excitement in check because odds are it could easily verify way differently. There's some very solid hits in there. Only a few members show absolutely nothing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, metalicwx367 said: There's some very solid hits in there. Only a few members show absolutely nothing. I count 3 (6%) that have moderate to heavy snow for the I85 crowd. So while trends are good, if the pendulum stops at 12z, this may well remain an I95 special 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: I count 3 (6%) that have moderate to heavy snow for the I85 crowd. So while trends are good, if the pendulum stops at 12z, this may well remain an I95 special I bet from history past the NW Trend continues 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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