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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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1 hour ago, metalicwx367 said:

It's unreal seeing that for this location in NWS forecast. 

 

At this rate if this keeps trending NW, we will end up 33F and rain lol. GFS actually changes us over to rain during the heaviest precipitation period.

The 12Z CMC is amazing with an unheard of massive sleetstorm for much of our corridor with 2.5” at AYS and 4.3” at SVN!

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Qpf 1.2” AYS, 1.67” SVN with all but the very early light qpf with 2m temps of 27-25F:

IMG_2011.thumb.png.47733d5d5dd65b90e414236b5b8d24b1.png


ZR: AYS 0.30”, SVN 0.05”

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Snow: 0.3” AYS/SVN; Gainesville 0.31”

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@Awesomesauce81

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41 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Take it from someone who lives in the northeast, the UKMET often overdoes the influence of cold and dry high pressure for our storms. I imagine it’s doing something similar in the south for next week.

It just happened last Sunday/Monday for the DMV. Moreover, a couple of dates ago it looked like DC would only get a dusting this upcoming Sunday. Now, a significant snow is expected 

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8 minutes ago, metalicwx367 said:

I'll take the 3 inches of snow and inch of sleet. Better than the ZR.

3.8” combined SN/IP would be biggest on record at AYS

12Z UKMET has essentially no wintry precip except tiny bit of sleet AYS Tue night

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12Z EPS snow: once in generation snow in much of coastal far S SC/SE GA/N FL if this were to verify well: hasn’t occurred since at the very least 1989 for most of those areas, which was years before the WWWeb even got going and many here not even born yet! I’m trying to keep my excitement in check because it could easily verify way differently since it’s still 4.5 days from this initialization, the 12Z models have huge disagreements, and this would be an exceedingly rare event!

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@metalicwx367

@Awesomesauce81

@gtg947h

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9 minutes ago, GaWx said:

12Z EPS snow: once in generation snow in much of coastal far S SC/SE GA/N FL if this were to verify well: hasn’t occurred since at the very least 1989 for most of those areas, which was years before the WWWeb even got going! I’m trying to keep my excitement in check because odds are it could easily verify way differently.

IMG_2024.thumb.png.97f714a629670dedfb73ff4d46754db5.png

There's some very solid hits in there. Only a few members show absolutely nothing. 

 

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Screenshot_20250117_133400_Chrome.jpg

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