BooneWX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, WXNewton said: 06z and 00z, couple more moves like that and everyone might be happy. Hell I’d take that now. .3” with 20:1 ratios is a big event. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Things are looking up this morning. GFS finally trends NW and gets a good storm for more folks. UK still has a good storm, and the Canadian isn't wavering and still has a monster storm. Maybe we'll get the Euro on board sometime in the next couple of days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12 minutes ago, WXNewton said: 06z and 00z, couple more moves like that and everyone might be happy. Moving towards the UK runs and maybe even the Canadian. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Check out this sounding on the Canadian at GSO. The part of the sounding marked in yellow represents the layer where temps are optimal for dendrites, i.e. the highest possible snow ratios. Never seen anything like it in these parts, pure weenie fuel! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: Moving towards the UK runs and maybe even the Canadian. If Raleigh got 0.8” of precip with those temps…. happy happy happy 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Until the Euro and EPS start trending I would use a lot of caution 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Until the Euro and EPS start trending I would use a lot of caution I predict they get on board soon. As per usual, the mid/long range outlook on the extreme cold (and heat in the summer) is moderating out thus the base of the trough not digging as far south as earlier modeled. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Thrasher Fan said: I predict they get on board soon. As per usual, the mid/long range outlook on the extreme cold (and heat in the summer) is moderating out thus the base of the trough not digging as far south as earlier modeled. It will still be extremely cold. Just not extremely extreme. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 . 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 17 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said: I predict they get on board soon. As per usual, the mid/long range outlook on the extreme cold (and heat in the summer) is moderating out thus the base of the trough not digging as far south as earlier modeled. Bingo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 29 minutes ago, BooneWX said: . I’ll take a 2014 repeat all day long! This was only about 1.5 hours or so after it started snowing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 21 minutes ago, BooneWX said: . I was living in Greenville for that one. Remember watching the sleet and thinking it would switch for hours. It finally did but we wasted 1/2 the storm on sleet. Think we got 4-5” but way less than the 8-10” forecast. Still a great storm and a great winter that way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I’m not biting until the ICON gets on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Hey, the longggg range NAM looks more like the Canadian than the EURO. We’re good y’all 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: I’m not biting until the ICON gets on board Well get ready because it looks much improved at 96hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: Hey, the longggg range NAM looks more like the Canadian than the EURO. We’re good y’all DGEX me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Well get ready because it looks much improved at 96hrs It went to hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: Well get ready because it looks much improved at 96hrs H5 looks like a step in the right direction but surface is extremely suppressed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 ICON wasn't even close. Its been trending worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, olafminesaw said: H5 looks like a step in the right direction but surface is extremely suppressed Yep, started strong, didn’t end well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 9 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: I’m not biting until the ICON gets on board Suppression city on 12Z ICON. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 up and vanished like a **** in the wind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I believe the ICON verification scores are below most every other major global model TBF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 11 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: I’m not biting until the ICON gets on board It was on board. Now it's going the other way while the GFS gets on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Does anyone have the 6z Euro snow map? I heard it improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: I believe the ICON verification scores are below most every other major global model TBF I actually searched for some verification #'s that included the ICON but couldn't locate any. Prob because it sucks. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I would like to see the Euro climb on board, but seeing the trends with it and the AI version give me some comfort. The AI version is a bit later in getting the system into the east, which actually helps interior sections as it allows the PV over Canada to swing out a bit and relax. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: If Raleigh got 0.8” of precip with those temps…. happy happy happy I don't think this would be a 10:1 ratio though. The air is going to be very cold and dry. Like where I live, 0.4" would be 4" of snow at 10:1. A 5:1 would be 2". I know everyone knows this...just a thought. But yes, at this point, 0.8" would be a nice surprise. 1.6" translated to snow in Charleston would shut that place down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Does anyone have the 6z Euro snow map? I heard it improved Here's 6Z and 0Z below that. Definitely an improvement for yall in the Carolinas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said: I don't think this would be a 10:1 ratio though. The air is going to be very cold and dry. Like where I live, 0.4" would be 4" of snow at 10:1. A 5:1 would be 2". I know everyone knows this...just a thought. But yes, at this point, 0.8" would be a nice surprise. 1.6" translated to snow in Charleston would shut that place down. If this materializes, I would expect ratios on the NW fringes to be in the 15 to 20:1 range. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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