WiseWeather Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS dont know whats going on. Its been super south today and super north. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 8 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS losing the storm entirely doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies Give it until about Friday and it'll be back...As long as ensembles still show something, hope is not lost. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 It’s truly wild that the Euro Ensembles — king and court of all models — can show the complete opposite at this range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GEFS looks wetter than 12z.. hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: GEFS looks wetter than 12z.. hmmm Yeah it’s not even close to the Op. that’s extremely rare to see with the GFS honestly. They usually are in tandem but there are some setups where there can be wild differences from the Op to the ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Find the difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Yep, GEFS continues the North trend. I would be pretty surprised if the OP didn't come back north by 12z tommorow or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS is real ugly for Thursday/Friday system... heavy ice and then rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 At this point, I'm just going to trust the ole' saying "In this world, nothing is certain except death and taxes...and a NW result from what models are showing". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The fact that the GEFS actually got a bit better means we can probably throw out this Op run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 It seems as if the gfs has kept todays streak of a completely different scenario with each run 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS isn't in the ballparkt,it's not even in the parking lot yet. Vastly different with the shortwave placement. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Round these parts, picking the model showing the least amount of snow is usually the correct call 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I am not even going to pay attention to that dumpster fire late next week. There’s no way for us to win that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: If the Op follows along all will be well in the world 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GEFS has the signal and continues to increase precip northward with each run. One of the rare times the ensemble won’t follow the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: If the Op follows along all will be well in the world It won’t because it hates us and doesn’t want to see us happy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC DataDude Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So, are we seeing 3 possible systems (whether it be winter precip or not?) Weekend/Tue-Wed/Fri-Sat? Or are the models all gobbly wobbly and it is a mosh posh of 2 storms strung out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS is drunk and all over the place today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 P19 please 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I don’t know what’s happening anymore. What days are we looking at again? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 5 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: P19 please Definitely shows the whole suite is in the suppression camp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I still believe in the NW Trend, it will come in due time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: I don’t know what’s happening anymore. What days are we looking at again? Neither does the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Definitely shows the whole suite is in the suppression camp Love that at this range. We know what climo is w/r/t 95% of the time…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So, GFS has this for Sunday night into Monday, suppresses the storm the middle of next week, and then brings some ice at the end of next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Definitely shows the whole suite is in the suppression camp Am I a psycho for being thankful there were no over amped ones in there? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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