KrummWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So you're saying there's a chance 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 27 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Are we playing Keno with pretty pictures? I'll take 17 FTW please! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILM2714 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 17 minutes ago, Kimmie said: I was a senior at UNCW, living downtown. It was so much fun!!! A senior living downtown has lots of fun. That must have been wild! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Are we playing Keno with pretty pictures? I'll take 17 FTW please! I'll take 7, 9 or 22. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Hell I’ll take 15 of those 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 24 minutes ago, KrummWx said: So you're saying there's a chance Haven’t seen that in central NC since the color TV 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I'm not sure what the 12z AI looks like as far as Snow and ICE, but it increased significantly in the amount of QPF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 48 HR QPF ending at 12z Thursday 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 10 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 48 HR QPF ending at 12z Thursday Unfortunately the majority of this on the 12Z Euro AI is ZR in my area with temps just at or just below 32, 850s at +3 to +5, and north winds keeping the warming from the ocean away. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, GaWx said: Unfortunately the majority of this is ZR in my area with temps just below 32 and north winds keeping the warming from the ocean away. I would think this would be a very nice thump for the upstate into NC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I'm not sure what the 12z AI looks like as far as Snow and ICE, but it increased significantly in the amount of QPF The AI is insistent on a raging ice storm with mid 20’s at the surface and a perfect storm track. Color me skeptical 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 12Z JMA appears to be a major winter storm 1/21-2 with major ZR deep SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, GaWx said: 12Z JMA appears to be a major winter storm 1/21-2 with major ZR deep SE. Looks very similar to the AI in regards to QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 For the life of me I cannot figure out how the AI loses our HP and drives a hard southerly flow at 850 during the storm with that track. I don’t buy it 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: For the life of me I cannot figure out how the AI loses our HP and drives a hard southerly flow at 850 during the storm with that track. I don’t buy it It wasn’t good with sfc features for last week’s storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Only one of our 3 TV stations seems to be talking about a threat Tue-Thu. NWS CHS: AS WE MOVE INTO TUESDAY AND BEYOND, THE FORECAST BECOMES EXCEEDINGLY TRICKY AND ALSO POTENTIALLY VERY IMPACTFUL. MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS BROADLY AGREE THAT WE WILL HAVE VERY COLD AIR COINCIDENT WITH PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE SOUTH OR OFF THE COAST. VARIOUS DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTER WEATHER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS A RESULT. HOWEVER, CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE TIMING OF PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS, AND SPECIFIC IMPACTED AREAS. ALL SCENARIOS ARE ON THE TABLE, INCLUDING SEEING LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION AT ALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Has anyone extrapolated the NAM yet? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 NWS CHS for SAV: don’t see this every day MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY MOSTLY SUNNY. MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MONDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. TUESDAY PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND 20 IN THE MORNING. TUESDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND 20. WEDNESDAY MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND 20 IN THE MORNING. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Icon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Icon? 18z doesn't run far enough out to draw any conclusions, although it looks further south with the Sunday system which is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 I can already tell the GFS is going to be suppression city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS insistent we at least get a storm thread for Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 18z GFS continues to squash the first wave next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 heres a video from WYFF News 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS is really bad 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: GFS is really bad Its like a kid that doesn't listen and just wants to do its own thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The GFS continues to swing wildly, I hope that is a sign it is OTL. If not, we are all screwed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS losing the storm entirely doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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