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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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I feel like in the last storm euro ens. matched up very closely to the end results here in Catawba County and they did not jump back and forth a whole lot leading up to the storm. For 3-5 days in a row they showed us anywhere from 1.8"-2.5" and that's about exactly what we got. I would say they were by far more consistent and accurate to the end result than any other solutions that were on the table.

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7 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said:

Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System,or known as Euro AI or (Big AL) is cooking today.

 

 

 

 

webp-worker-commands-785ff6ffcf-ch2bm-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-j7unx91v.webp

As good as the AI has been its been jumpy post 120.  It keeps going more with the GFS idea of the later wave and the system digging for China.  I am not sure I buy that.  I think something between the UKMET/ICON where it ejects along the Gulf from TX vs coming up out of the oil rigs is more likely.

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Y'all I'm a big lurker and I am embarrassed to put up an IMBY post... but need advice.  Am traveling to the midwest with spouse and kids to visit with my in-laws on Friday, supposed to be returning to RDU (thru Charlotte) by noon on Wednesday.  Currently looking into changing flights for early morning Tue thru ORD, but would cost $280 to change.  Can't decide if I should pull the trigger...

 

 

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2 minutes ago, dogwoods said:

Y'all I'm a big lurker and I am embarrassed to put up an IMBY post... but need advice.  Am traveling to the midwest with spouse and kids to visit with my in-laws on Friday, supposed to be returning to RDU (thru Charlotte) by noon on Wednesday.  Currently looking into changing flights for early morning Tue thru ORD, but would cost $280 to change.  Can't decide if I should pull the trigger...

 

 

Knowing RDU and snowfall, I wouldn’t change your flights. Even if it *does* snow, I don’t think it will be enough to affect flights.

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26 minutes ago, suzook said:

LMFAO. The coast of GA and SC getting 15 inches of snow? Funny shit.

Something of that sort happened in this area in January of 1800. I’m not making this up. Was a multi-hundred year snowstorm obviously.

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21 minutes ago, dogwoods said:

Y'all I'm a big lurker and I am embarrassed to put up an IMBY post... but need advice.  Am traveling to the midwest with spouse and kids to visit with my in-laws on Friday, supposed to be returning to RDU (thru Charlotte) by noon on Wednesday.  Currently looking into changing flights for early morning Tue thru ORD, but would cost $280 to change.  Can't decide if I should pull the trigger...

 

 

I would not change my flights if I were you. 

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2 hours ago, Awesomesauce81 said:

The UK would definitely be the best solution for our area if we were to get anything 

An amazing (for 6 days out) 16 of 20 (80%) of 12Z GEPS members have some form(s) of wintry precip in our area 1/21-2! Of those 16, 9 are primarily ZR and 7 are primarily snow/sleet.

 On 12Z GEFS, it is 14 of 30 that have wintry precip in our area during 1/21-2. But 10 of these 14 are mainly snow and sleet vs only 4 mainly ZR.

12Z EPS snow mean: highest I’ve ever seen for us with it ~1.5”! Out of the 50, ~1 in 4 (13) have 1”+ of snow at Hunter! It doesn’t show sleet or ZR. 22 of the 50 have snow.

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