buckeyefan1 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Looks icy to me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 22 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The 18Z Euro AI has the 546 thickness line, often a proxy for the snow/sleet line, way NW of the GFS and near the 12Z Euro from Rome, GA, to the TN/NC line. The majority of the qpf on that 12Z Euro was in the form of ZR for much of GA/SC/NC. So, my guess is that much of the 18Z Euro AI precip is similarly ZR over a good portion of GA/SC/NC near and SE of a line from ATL to GSP to RDU. That’s not surprising with the low close to the SE coast rather than well offshore. This as modeled is very likely not a major snowstorm for most here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The 18Z Euro AI has the 546 thickness line, often a proxy for the snow/sleet line, way NW of the GFS and near the 12Z Euro from Rome, GA, to the TN/NC line. The majority of the qpf on that 12Z Euro was in the form of ZR for much of GA/SC/NC. So, my guess is that much of the 18Z Euro AI precip is similarly ZR over a good portion of GA/SC/NC near and SE of a line from ATL to GSP to RDU. That’s not surprising with the low close to the SE coast rather than well offshore. This as modeled is very likely not a major snowstorm for most here.But rather a catastrophic ice stormSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, GaWx said: The 18Z Euro AI has the 546 thickness line, often a proxy for the snow/sleet line, way NW of the GFS and near the 12Z Euro from Rome, GA, to the TN/NC line. The majority of the qpf on that 12Z Euro was in the form of ZR for much of GA/SC/NC. So, my guess is that much of the 18Z Euro AI precip is similarly ZR over a good portion of GA/SC/NC near and SE of a line from ATL to GSP to RDU. That’s not surprising with the low close to the SE coast rather than well offshore. This as modeled is very likely not a major snowstorm for most here. That low is 50 miles off the coast and weak. Pretty close to benchmark for RDU. I don’t know what we’ve got to do to get a pure snow here anymore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just realized the Euro AI is almost 36 hours slower than some of the other models. Think we need this to eject out of the southwest faster. We need a Monday/Tuesday storm for a snow play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Any model against Brick Storm 2025 we toss at this point.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, WiseWeather said: Any model against Brick Storm 2025 we toss at this point. . I'll go back to yelling at the models again to get them in line. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 8 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Just realized the Euro AI is almost 36 hours slower than some of the other models. Think we need this to eject out of the southwest faster. We need a Monday/Tuesday storm for a snow play. And we still have a chance for a NW track trend from there though the Siberian high may prevent that. Euro AI didn’t do well too far in advance with the surface pressures and winds. Remember those runs with a clipper low and no wedge/warming S winds ahead of it and on back side of offshore high? That looked very suspect based on history and turned out wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 May have been mentioned already, but the high is not in a great placement, at least on the GFS. Having a high centered over the western US is not good for us. That super cold dense air has a hard time bleeding over the Apps... We want the strong high to be to our N/NE to funnel the cold stuff east of the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 ICON has the storm at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: That would be a nice surprise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 This weekend about to sneak up on us.. catch us with the change while we’re hunting the fastball 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 End of the ICON looks similar to the good GFS runs earlier today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 0Z ICON has several inches of snow FL Pandandle/SE AL to C GA to NE SC/SE NC and significant IP/ZR further south. Much of this in SC/SE GA and S SC that is S of the snow is ZR, some of it major amounts of 0.75-1” and it’s not over as of the end of the run as there’s probably another 6-9 hours of precip to go with no warming flow off the ocean due to N winds. Thank goodness it is just a model that’s out 168 hours and realizing this kind of ice hasn’t happened there in much of that area in over 100 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 If we can’t win with a 1041 high in the WV panhandle, I don’t want to winter anymore 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Can't sleep on Monday. Might be the opening act. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 It's early but the GFS looks like it won't be that amped. It's slower but building back in TX at 159 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Well, now the GFS doesn't have the Monday storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: 1054 mb high there at corner of MO/KS/NE/IA would be near an all-time record high there. Thus I feel it is likely overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Back in business. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, Brick Tamland said: Back in business. We keep getting different looks but in the end still have a signal and get snow into parts of GA, SC, and NC. Run after run consistency. I know we all want a Big Dog....but some of us still didn't have the ground covered on the 10th. I would gladly take this. Of course, it would be nice to get that Big Dog! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Last 3 GFS runs have shown only that a storm is there. Absolutely zero consistency with details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 Bit of a strung out mess but eastern areas it's decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 Canadian has a bigger storm 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS was decent. Canadian looks more like the big GFS run before. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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