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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said:

I feel really good about this one. Euro with a huge storm and then the GFS follows up with a huge storm, too. Not as big as the Euro, but still a big coastal bomb. Euro is usually good at sniffing out the big ones in the long range. Maybe it might not be as big as the Euro and GFS show, but I think this will be the biggest one we have had here in NC in a while.

I've been around long enough to know, that combo is a lock for DC special, or clear blue skies with falling iguananas alerts in Florida 

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1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said:

That last Euro run really was a thing of beauty for all of NC. Comes in a little later and close to the anniversary of the Carolina Crusher.

sn10-acc-imp-us-ma-2.png

 

 

 

Brick, there hasn’t been a SE storm of this magnitude AND breadth on record going back 150 years! This is like 2/1973 on steroids and 2/1973 without steroids was incredible. So, odds of this combined with the massive N FL Pan/deep SE/coast icestorm verifying closely are infinitesimally tiny. There’s a better chance for me to decide to run for Pres of the US and that’s something I have less than zero interest in ever doing.

 We all should keep in mind that a NW trend though not a lock is always likely if there is a storm around then due to cold model biases. It isn’t really a NW trend but rather the models typically being too far SE in the first place because the atmosphere is modeled colder than reality.

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3 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Brick, there hasn’t been a storm of this magnitude and breadth on record going back 150 years! This is like 2/1973 on steroids and 2/1973 without steroids was incredible. So, odds of this combined with the massive N FL Pan/deep SE/coast icestorm verifying closely are infinitesimally tiny. There’s a better chance for me to decide to run for Pres of the US and that’s something I have less than zero interest in ever doing.

 The NW trend though not a lock is highly likely if there is a storm around then due to cold model biases.

Sounds like we're due then.

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8 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Brick, there hasn’t been a SE storm of this magnitude AND breadth on record going back 150 years! This is like 2/1973 on steroids and 2/1973 without steroids was incredible. So, odds of this combined with the massive N FL Pan/deep SE/coast icestorm verifying closely are infinitesimally tiny. There’s a better chance for me to decide to run for Pres of the US and that’s something I have less than zero interest in ever doing.

 We all should keep in mind that a NW trend though not a lock is always likely if there is a storm around then due to cold model biases. It isn’t really a NW trend but rather the models typically being too far SE in the first place because the atmosphere is modeled colder than reality.

This is 1973 meets 2000 meets 1993 Frankenstein

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