BooneWX Posted Sunday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:02 PM Anybody getting dejavu?The ridge out west seems much more cooperative at this range. Notice how it’s going polar instead of getting tilted towards the Rockies and Alberta. Overrunning from a weak low along the frontal boundary is probably the likelihood but I would not rule out a phased bomb. It almost pulls it off later in the run but the northern stream doesn’t link up. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted Sunday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:02 PM We’ve seen extreme lows like that many times in past years and they don’t pan out at this time range. I find it hard to swallow. Maybe I’m bias because I don’t want it to be that cold. I vote no. That’s not cool. I tend to agree. While it would be fascinating for nerds like us; that is a massive strain on power grids not used to that level of cold and the type of cold that kills people. Especially in Helene areas…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Sunday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:07 PM 12z GFS drops a 1054 into the upper Midwest… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Sunday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:19 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Sunday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:29 PM Cold was overdone previously. Sure, its probably gonna be cold, but i highly doubt the cold the ECMWF is predicting is accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Sunday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:29 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Sunday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:31 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Sunday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:40 PM 1 hour ago, suzook said: Cold was overdone previously. Sure, its probably gonna be cold, but i highly doubt the cold the ECMWF is predicting is accurate. I try not to look at operational solutions, especially with one extreme or the other, as being significant over a week out. They change so much from run to run and thus have little credibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted Sunday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:44 PM Hang on folks... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Sunday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:45 PM Just now, CaryWx said: Hang on folks... To what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Sunday at 05:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:46 PM Just now, lilj4425 said: To what? EURO 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted Sunday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:47 PM Big Dog and I mean big. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted Sunday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:47 PM It's spectacular. Let's just hope its real 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Sunday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:54 PM Euro has like 2 inches of FZRA in Florida lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Sunday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:54 PM Cautionary tale for the board......be careful what you wish for! Sometimes Mother Nature grants wishes......all of them at ONCE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Sunday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:56 PM Holy moly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted Sunday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:58 PM 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted Sunday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:59 PM It's way out there in time and is an operational run so keep that in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Sunday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:01 PM Great Scott!! We would have cardiac arrests! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Sunday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:01 PM Pretty to look at but still 10-11 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Sunday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:02 PM I'd feel better if that EURO maximum was about 75 miles southeast haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Sunday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:03 PM 4 minutes ago, CaryWx said: North Carolina would be shut down until Easter 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Sunday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:11 PM Yep, a 1040 over SW PA is acceptable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted Sunday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:12 PM Start the thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM With the 1/12 12z run of the ECMWF showing the possibility of another 1"+ snowfall in Atlanta (Days 9-10), it should be noted that the last winter that saw two 1" or more snowfalls in Atlanta was Winter 2017-18. For now, that's a reference point, and I have no comments on the actual amounts shown on what was an aggressive ECMWF output. We'll see how the pattern evolves. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Sunday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:15 PM 10 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Pretty to look at but still 10-11 days out. That's true, trying to not get excited when you see something like that is hard to do. However, the energy being modeled is only like 6-7 days out from working it's way towards us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM 1 minute ago, WXNewton said: That's true, trying to not get excited when you see something like that is hard to do. However, the energy being modeled is only like 6-7 days out from working it's way towards us. Yea. It’s nice to have had a storm and immediately have something to start to track without punting 2-3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted Sunday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:18 PM 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: With the 1/12 12z run of the ECMWF showing the possibility of another 1"+ snowfall in Atlanta (Days 9-10), it should be noted that the last winter that saw two 1" or more snowfalls in Atlanta was Winter 2013-14. For now, that's a reference point, and I have no comments on the actual amounts shown on what was an aggressive ECMWF output. We'll see how the pattern evolves. Numbers mean nothing at this range but there is a "cold" storm there on the models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Sunday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:19 PM 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: With the 1/12 12z run of the ECMWF showing the possibility of another 1"+ snowfall in Atlanta (Days 9-10), it should be noted that the last winter that saw two 1" or more snowfalls in Atlanta was Winter 2013-14. For now, that's a reference point, and I have no comments on the actual amounts shown on what was an aggressive ECMWF output. We'll see how the pattern evolves. "Aggressive". You have a flair for understatement, sir. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Sunday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:19 PM 20 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Happy Birthday to me!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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