BooneWX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Anybody getting dejavu?The ridge out west seems much more cooperative at this range. Notice how it’s going polar instead of getting tilted towards the Rockies and Alberta. Overrunning from a weak low along the frontal boundary is probably the likelihood but I would not rule out a phased bomb. It almost pulls it off later in the run but the northern stream doesn’t link up. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 We’ve seen extreme lows like that many times in past years and they don’t pan out at this time range. I find it hard to swallow. Maybe I’m bias because I don’t want it to be that cold. I vote no. That’s not cool. I tend to agree. While it would be fascinating for nerds like us; that is a massive strain on power grids not used to that level of cold and the type of cold that kills people. Especially in Helene areas…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 12z GFS drops a 1054 into the upper Midwest… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Cold was overdone previously. Sure, its probably gonna be cold, but i highly doubt the cold the ECMWF is predicting is accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, suzook said: Cold was overdone previously. Sure, its probably gonna be cold, but i highly doubt the cold the ECMWF is predicting is accurate. I try not to look at operational solutions, especially with one extreme or the other, as being significant over a week out. They change so much from run to run and thus have little credibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Hang on folks... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, CaryWx said: Hang on folks... To what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, lilj4425 said: To what? EURO 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Big Dog and I mean big. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 It's spectacular. Let's just hope its real 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Euro has like 2 inches of FZRA in Florida lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Cautionary tale for the board......be careful what you wish for! Sometimes Mother Nature grants wishes......all of them at ONCE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Holy moly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 It's way out there in time and is an operational run so keep that in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Great Scott!! We would have cardiac arrests! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Pretty to look at but still 10-11 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I'd feel better if that EURO maximum was about 75 miles southeast haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 4 minutes ago, CaryWx said: North Carolina would be shut down until Easter 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Yep, a 1040 over SW PA is acceptable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Start the thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 With the 1/12 12z run of the ECMWF showing the possibility of another 1"+ snowfall in Atlanta (Days 9-10), it should be noted that the last winter that saw two 1" or more snowfalls in Atlanta was Winter 2017-18. For now, that's a reference point, and I have no comments on the actual amounts shown on what was an aggressive ECMWF output. We'll see how the pattern evolves. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 10 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Pretty to look at but still 10-11 days out. That's true, trying to not get excited when you see something like that is hard to do. However, the energy being modeled is only like 6-7 days out from working it's way towards us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, WXNewton said: That's true, trying to not get excited when you see something like that is hard to do. However, the energy being modeled is only like 6-7 days out from working it's way towards us. Yea. It’s nice to have had a storm and immediately have something to start to track without punting 2-3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: With the 1/12 12z run of the ECMWF showing the possibility of another 1"+ snowfall in Atlanta (Days 9-10), it should be noted that the last winter that saw two 1" or more snowfalls in Atlanta was Winter 2013-14. For now, that's a reference point, and I have no comments on the actual amounts shown on what was an aggressive ECMWF output. We'll see how the pattern evolves. Numbers mean nothing at this range but there is a "cold" storm there on the models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: With the 1/12 12z run of the ECMWF showing the possibility of another 1"+ snowfall in Atlanta (Days 9-10), it should be noted that the last winter that saw two 1" or more snowfalls in Atlanta was Winter 2013-14. For now, that's a reference point, and I have no comments on the actual amounts shown on what was an aggressive ECMWF output. We'll see how the pattern evolves. "Aggressive". You have a flair for understatement, sir. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 20 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Happy Birthday to me!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now