Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,703
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Climax
    Newest Member
    Climax
    Joined

Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
 Share

Recommended Posts

5 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

Hmmm

prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.conus (1).png

 Here we go again with a SE coast major snow teaser run. Like the real ones often do, this crosses S FL. The last umpteen SE coastal teasers haven’t verified but one day or year or decade the next one finally will. I’d just like to see a flake or pellet as it has been 7 years here. Granted the last one was a doozy.

 Looking ahead, today’s Euro Weekly for 1/20-26 tells me that the next shot at a widespread SE winter storm may come then: 

 H5: strong -EPO/moderate +PNA, which would allow for cross polar air/Siberian Express:

IMG_1711.thumb.webp.f11a2b3ba6ee6e9351f2882bad46ca21.webp


2m temperatures: this is a notably cold signal for still being 12 days out

IMG_1712.thumb.webp.37081a2d830dd3ea0f207c7a059baa2b.webp
 

Last but not least is the precip signal, which hints at another Gulf storm:

IMG_1713.thumb.webp.2df02a1ecb1042773da75435ffd8ffa9.webp

 

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Latest Euro weeklies for 1/20-6 keeping in mind that model consensus brings down Siberian Express high ~1/20:

IMG_1735.thumb.webp.fbec6031f9eddae78ec765bf647ef851.webp

 

Significant Gulf moisture signal is even stronger than prior run:
IMG_1733.thumb.webp.41b511d739d2f1fd1ef4d9651ea6c5ea.webp

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Upstate Tiger said:

While we await the arrival of today's winter weather, I did a quick check on the extended forecasts.

I am sensing a major ice storm in our future.  

Love tracking while a storm is upon us. maybe..

  • Like 3
  • omg 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Upstate Tiger said:

While we await the arrival of today's winter weather, I did a quick check on the extended forecasts.

I am sensing a major ice storm in our future.  

Could be. I know I’ve been watching 2 more chances before the pattern breaks down the first weekish of Feb :D

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, GaWx said:

Latest Euro weeklies for 1/20-6 keeping in mind that model consensus brings down Siberian Express high ~1/20:

IMG_1735.thumb.webp.fbec6031f9eddae78ec765bf647ef851.webp

 

Significant Gulf moisture signal is even stronger than prior run:
IMG_1733.thumb.webp.41b511d739d2f1fd1ef4d9651ea6c5ea.webp

 

Ptree City gives me a 20 percent chance of zr Sunday night. How do I get this to a ip/sn pattern down here, lol. Ended up with an inch of ip/sn but got some heavier rain moving in and I've been below freezing all day, so maybe I shrugged off the zr threat this afternoon too soon.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Are you not entertained?!

Gg9WvCnWsAAYwfe?format=png&name=900x900

Not bad for VA but very Meh for NC.  cold is definitely centered west as the trough axis retrogrades.  The SER begins to rise.  This screams cold-dry intervals punctuated by warm-rain.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...