Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Lol 39" to central jersey coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1/2 inch of snow with around 0.2 ice for Raleigh verbatim. The bare minimum to break the streak. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 The storm looked better but still was to strung out before it got here. Need it to phase sooner and go negatively tilt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 12Z GFS ZR: significant in some areas. This would be a major winter storm for NE GA and bordering upstate SC (even Augusta and Columbia would be a close call to a big deal) as depicted with 2-3” of snow, some sleet, and 0.5” of ZR with 0.8-0.9” qpf: 12Z GFS qpf: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, eyewall said: 1/2 inch of snow with around 0.2 ice for Raleigh verbatim. The bare minimum to break the streak. I guess we have to start somewhere. Just seems very hard to get a decent snowstorm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 I would take that GFS run. 2 inches of snow then half an inch of sleet with some zr on top for my location. I hope the initial band of snow is stronger with a front end thump of snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 CMC has a stronger Low... Let's see where it goes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 CMC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just a reminder that ZR accumulation maps aren not realistic, especially with heavy precip. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 12z Canadian coming with another major hit for many. Moisture looks a lot more abundant and similar to last night's run, lots of ice still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Canadian is icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Yea if I see any trend, it’s that we’re moving away from a snow threat and to an ice threat. Don’t be so quick to discount Frz Rain totals. For many areas, the precip is light and falling into air that’s 25-28°. It’ll freeze much more efficiently than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Brick Tamland said: Canadian is icy. Lights out Columbia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 CMC is a ICE storm for many... Goes Neutral Tilt to late off the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Canadian looks like it has more precip. Snow to ice to snow for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just a few more runs and this is likely to be an all cold rain event. Wild swings though for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Much higher qpf on the Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Well . I know it doesn't look promising right now outside of ICE... still got several days to go to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Just a few more runs and this is likely to be an all cold rain event. Wild swings though for sure. If the Canadian solution is my main option, I’m fine with that. I’ll take a cold rain and the power being on. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Anyone have the Sleet maps for the CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: Would be a January 2022 redux in the triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 12Z CMC ZR: major icestorm with 1”+ ZR ATL, Gainesville, Athens, Augusta, Columbia Sleet: @dsaurgets some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 The CMC does have a cold bias I believe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Would be a January 2022 redux in the triad Last time we had a winter storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, eyewall said: The CMC does have a cold bias I believe. The CMC has about the strongest cold bias of the major models at the surface. But the CMC/RGEM often do best in icey/CAD situations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Looks and sounds like the rain here is mixing with sleet and freezing rain. I can see some ice on the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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