olafminesaw Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 9 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Could be. It’ll be interesting to look back and see if it was the first to sniff the correct end game or first to miss. I don’t think we have a trend in any direction yet, but I do think there are more depictions closer to its solution as of recent runs. At this range the Euro AI was much further north than the rest of guidance with today's storm. The correct solution was between the Euro AI and the consensus. So hopefully it will prove a useful tool to see which direction model consensus is wrong at least 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Euro op looked like a mess for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Euro op looked like a mess for next weekend Still a lot to iron out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 The Euro AI was definitely a Monster Winter Storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The Euro AI was definitely a Monster Winter Storm. A little tough to tell. Track was RDU special but thermals looked a little warm oddly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 48 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Euro op looked like a mess for next weekend Cold air is lacking big time there. What did the EPS look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 11 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Cold air is lacking big time there. What did the EPS look like? 18Z EPS 144 snow mean: a bit more in NC vs 12Z at 150; ~40% have significant snow in much of NC (pretty strong signal) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 18Z EPS 144 snow mean: a bit more in NC vs 12Z at 150; ~40% have significant snow in much of NC (pretty strong signal) The ingredients for this one are all here. Just gotta get the timing right (and honestly, tomorrow to perform across the MA). A foot of snowpack to the immediate north can go a long way towards helping lock cold air in…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 ICON is looking good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 0z ICON has a storm but very weakish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Don't think this GFS run will have much moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Strung out weak mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Late Bloomed... Oz GFS still has a solid storm signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Of course Virginia gets nailed again with a late phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 The energy in TN valley is still killing thermals and moisture transport into WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Central VA gets clobbered this time... Not to far from mby... Big ice storm to.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Looks like a mix to snow on the GFS for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 987 storm sitting off NE of Virginia Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Man I really hoped we’d be exiting windshield wiper territory at this point. Every single run is wildly different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 DC has been praying to the snow gods I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Man, I was sure after 18z that if we could slow down the phase by 6 hours we’d get clobbered. We got that at 0z and still couldn’t make it work. I don’t know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Pretty good drop for the snow totals from the last run and increase in freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Man, I was sure after 18z that if we could slow down the phase by 6 hours we’d get clobbered. We got that at 0z and still couldn’t make it work. I don’t know I don't think anyone knows what works anymore to get a good snow storm here. What used to work doesn't seem to apply anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 Canadian coming in with a bigger storm compared to previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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